3 NBA Props for Saturday: Ibaka Over/Under 5.5 Rebounds?


John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Saturday’s analysis will cover the following three props:

  • Ben Simmons over/under 15.5 points, Philadelphia vs. Boston, 5 p.m. ET.
  • Serge Ibaka over/under 5.5 rebounds, Toronto at Cleveland, 8:30 p.m. ET.
  • Jonas Valanciunas over/under 14.5 points, Toronto at Cleveland, 8:30 p.m. ET.

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.


Ben Simmons Under 15.5 points (-115)

5 p.m. ET | ESPN

Simmons is one of the more intriguing players in action Saturday. He’s obviously a phenomenal young talent, but the Celtics have absolutely owned him over the course of the season. They’ve limited him to an average of just 11.5 points per game, and he’s been over the 15.5 mark in just two of those contests, with 16 points in one game and 18 in another. Things could change with this series moving back to Philadelphia, but this line seems a bit high given his recent history against the Celtics.

Serge Ibaka Under 5.5 rebounds (-130)

8:30 p.m. ET | ABC

Ibaka was basically invisible in Game 2, playing just 12 minutes. He did manage to pull down six boards in that contest, but that seems like a bit of an outlier given that he recorded just seven total rebounds over his previous 74 minutes of court time.

Jonas Valanciunas Over 14.5 points (-125)

8:30 p.m. ET | ABC

The Raps have obviously had their issues to start this series with the Cavs, but Valanciunas has not been one of them. He’s scored at least 16 points in each of the first two matchups, and did so in just 27 minutes in Game 2. He played at least 31 minutes in each of the three games prior, so he has the potential to go well over this line if he returns to his normal workload.

All lines accurate as of 2:45 p.m. ET on Saturday, May 5.

Pictured above: Ben Simmons
Photo credit: Bob DeChiara – USA TODAY Sports

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