3 NBA Props for Sunday: CP3 Over/Under 5.5 Rebounds?
The NBA Props article offers data-driven analysis on player prop bets for each day’s slate using The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights to highlight notable props.
Sunday’s analysis will cover the following three props:
- LeBron James over/under 10.5 rebounds, Cleveland vs. Indiana (1 p.m. ET).
- Myles Turner over/under 12.5 points, Indiana at Cleveland (1 p.m. ET).
- Chris Paul over/under 5.5 rebounds, Houston vs. Utah (3:30 p.m. ET).
All lines accurate as of 11:30 a.m. ET on Sunday, April 29. Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.
LeBron James Over 10.5 Rebounds (-114)
1 p.m. ET | ABC
This is an obvious rebound spot for LeBron (no pun intended). He played only 31 minutes and grabbed five rebounds in Game 6’s blowout loss in Indiana, but there weren’t many rebounds available anyway as the Pacers shot a silly 56.3% from the field. Indiana hasn’t shot quite as well on the road in this series, but this is more about the likelihood of LeBron leaving it all on the floor in Game 7. Each time the Cavs have been coming off a loss in this series, LeBron has come out and snatched up at least 12 rebounds in the next game.
Myles Turner Under 12.5 Points (-115)
1 p.m. ET | ABC
Domantas Sabonis has now scored 19 or more points in three straight games, and his continued emergence has put a dent into the playing time and production of Turner. After playing no fewer than 30 minutes in each of the first three games of the series, Turner is averaging only 23.8 minutes per game over the past three contests. Turner simply doesn’t give them as much on offense as Sabonis, whether it’s as an outlet for Victor Oladipo on traps or as a screener. As I mentioned in this space on Friday, Turner averaged 12.7 points per game during the regular season in 28.2 minutes per game, so the under is the smart play when he’s likely to be a few minutes below that mark.
Chris Paul Under 5.5 Rebounds (-105)
3:30 p.m. ET | ABC
This prop is somewhat inflated, likely because CP3 averaged 8.3 rebounds per game in three meetings with Utah during the regular season. However, I’m not convinced that sample is particularly relevant given two of those games took place in December, and they were games in which he grabbed 10 and nine rebounds. This is also a pace-down game for the Rockets, who have a -1.9 Pace Differential relative to Utah. Over his past 10 games, CP3 has corralled six or more rebounds only once, averaging 3.7 rebounds per game over that span.
Pictured above: Chris Paul
Photo credit: Erik Williams – USA TODAY Sports