The NBA Props article offers data-driven analysis on player prop bets for each day’s slate using The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights to highlight notable props.

Thursday’s analysis will cover the following three props:

  • Serge Ibaka over/under 11.5 points, Toronto vs. Cleveland, 6 p.m. ET.
  • Jayson Tatum over/under 17.5 points, Boston vs. Philadelphia, 8:30 p.m. ET.
  • Ben Simmons over/under 8.5 assists, Philadelphia at Boston, 8:30 p.m. ET.

All lines accurate as of 4:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 3. Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.

Serge Ibaka Under 11.5 Points (+100)

6 p.m. ET | ESPN

Ibaka was averaging 16.5 points per game after Games 1 and 2 of the first round, but he seemingly lost his offense somewhere between Toronto and Washington D.C. and has yet to regain it.  Over his past five games, Ibaka hasn’t cleared double figures and is averaging just 5.8 points per game. He’s become less assertive, averaging a 15.3% usage rate in the playoffs, which is down from 19.4% during the regular season. On top of that, his minutes are trending downward, with him failing to top 23 minutes played in two of his past three games. The trend will probably regress at some point, but the value here is too good to pass up.

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