Four NBA Prop Bets to Consider for Wednesday’s Massive Slate
Mark D. Smith- USA Today Sports
Wednesday’s NBA slate features 12 games, which means that there are tons of prop bets for us to consider tonight. The FantasyLabs Player Prop tool has identified 15 props that have a current Bet Quality of 10, which provides us with plenty of ways to attack the bookmakers.
Here are five props that stand out to me on tonight’s slate.
All info as of 4 p.m. ET
Russell Westbrook under nine rebounds (+105)
8 p.m. ET
Westbrook is averaging 9.3 rebounds per game this season, so this feels like a fair line on the surface. But his rebound production has declined a bit from the start of the season:
October: 9.86 rebounds per game
November: 8.77 rebounds per game
December: 10.17 rebounds per game
January: 8.92 rebounds per game
February: 8.0 rebounds per game
This matchup with the Grizzlies also figures to be pretty slow — the Grizzlies are dead last in pace this season — which should limit the number of available rebounds.
John Collins over 6.5 rebounds (-125)
7 p.m. ET
Collins is a really good rebounder. His current rebound rate of 17.9 percent ranks 16th in the league, but his overall rebound numbers have been hampered by an average of just 22.2 minutes per game. He should have a chance to play a few extra minutes with Ersan Ilyasova ruled out for the Hawks’ matchup with the Pistons, who are just an average rebounding team despite the presence of Andre Drummond (14th in team rebound rate).
Jerian Grant under 11 points (-167)
8 p.m. ET
You have to lay a little more juice on this one, but there’s a lot to like here. Zach LaVine has dominated usage for the Bulls since returning from injury, and his minute count only continues to rise. Grant has seen a usage decrease of 4.1 percent when sharing the court with LaVine, resulting in a usage rate of just 13.4 percent. Kris Dunn is also expected to make his return today for the Bulls, and his presence could cut into Grant’s workload.
Josh Jackson over 15.5 points (-105)
9 p.m. ET
Jackson has a scary matchup here with the Utah Jazz, but this is line is just too low given his current role for the Phoenix Suns. He’s seen a nice boost in both usage and playing time recently with Devin Booker injured, and Jackson has exceeded 15.5 points in six of his past eight games. He didn’t hit that threshold in his most recent game against the Warriors, but he still put up 18 field goal attempts in that contest, which is encouraging for his prospects today. Booker will reportedly try to play today, so it’s possible that this line could go down or the odds could get better as we get closer to tip.
Eric Gordon under 15 points (-143)
8 p.m. ET
This bet cashed yesterday, so let’s double-down today. Gordon hasn’t eclipsed 13 points in any of his past four games, and today’s matchup with the Kings doesn’t seem like an ideal spot for him to break his slump. The Kings have played at the fifth slowest pace this season, which should result in a fewer shots than normal for the Rockets. They’re also favored by 14.5 points, so it’s possible the Gordon isn’t needed much today. Given that he’s currently questionable with a knee injury, the Rockets may look to take it easy on him with the All-Star break so close.
Editor’s note: Gordon was scratched on Wednesday evening before the Rockets’ game.