3 NBA Props for Wednesday: Harden Over/Under 8.5 Assists?

3 NBA Props for Wednesday: Harden Over/Under 8.5 Assists? article feature image

Troy Taormina – USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: James Harden. 

This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Tuesday’s analysis will cover the following three props for Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals featuring the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets beginning at 9 p.m. ET:

  • Andre Iguodala (Golden State) over/under 8.5 points
  • James Harden (Houston) over/under 8.5 assists
  • Eric Gordon (Houston) over/under 1.5 assists

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props  tool.


Andre Iguodala Under 8.5 points (-120)

9 p.m. ET | TNT

Iguodala recorded 11 points in Game 1, but that could regress in Game 2. For starters, he made seven free throws in Game 1, which is over six more than his regular season average of 0.9. His usage rate of 14.6% in Game 1 also represented an increase of over 3% when compared to his regular season average of 11.5%. If either of those figures regress to the norm in Game 2, he could find himself at closer to his regular-season average of 6.0 points per game. He scored below 8.5 points in three straight games prior to Monday’s “outburst.”

James Harden Under 8.5 Assists (+100)

9 p.m. ET | TNT

The Warriors made a conscious decision in Game 1 to turn Harden into a scorer and limit his playmaking opportunities, staying at home on shooters in the corners and on Clint Capela on the pick-and-roll, which resulted in Harden taking 24 shots but handing out just seven assists. If the Warriors employ a similar strategy in Game 2, it will be tough for Harden to crack the nine-assist threshold.

Eric Gordon Over 1.5 Assists (-150)

9 p.m. ET | TNT

You have to lay a decent amount of juice with this prop, but Gordon should be able to secure the two assists needed for the over. He averaged 2.6 assists per 36 minutes during the regular season and is coming of 34 minutes of playing time in Game 1. He’s recorded at least two assists in three straight games and in 3-of-4 games against the Warriors this season.

All lines accurate as of 5:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 16.