3 NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday: Bledsoe Over/Under 5.5 Assists?
The FantasyLabs Player Props tool has identified a handful of potentially exploitable prop bets for Tuesday’s eight-game slate. There are currently six props with a Bet Quality of 10 of 10 and an additional 17 props with a Bet Quality of at least 8 of 10.
Here are three props I have my eye on for games starting at 7:30 p.m., 8 p.m. and 10:30 p.m. ET.
Heat PF James Johnson Over 6 Rebounds (-130 at BetOnline)
8 p.m. ET | TNT
The Heat are thin in the frontcourt at the moment, with both Hassan Whiteside (hip) and Bam Adebayo (ankle) unavailable for tonight’s contest versus the Cavs. That should result in a few extra minutes for Johnson, who has ripped down at least six boards in five of his past seven games. The Cavs are also one of the worst rebounding teams in the league: their rebound rate of 49.1% ranks just 23rd.
Nuggets PG Jamal Murray Over 17.5 Points (-125 at 5Dimes)
7:30 p.m. ET
The Nuggets have a brutal matchup with the Raptors — Toronto ranks fifth in defensive efficiency on the season — but there is still reason for optimism for Murray. Denver is still down Gary Harris (knee), and Murray has seen a usage bump this season in games which Harris is out, resulting in an average of 20.9 points per game and suggesting there’s some value with the over on this line.
Bucks PG Eric Bledsoe Over 5.5 Assists (-125 at BetOnline)
10:30 p.m. ET | TNT
Bledsoe has been under this mark in each of his past two games, but there’s reason to believe he’ll get back on track tonight. While he struggled against the Spurs last Sunday and in a blowout win against the Bulls last Friday, he handed out at least eight assists in each of the four previous games. His matchup versus the Clippers is also an excellent one: The Bucks implied team total of 110.75 represents an increase of nearly five points when compared to their season average (106.0).
Pictured above: Eric Bledsoe. Photo credit: Troy Taormina, USA TODAY Sports.