Celtics-Rockets Betting Guide: Is Houston Being Undervalued?

Celtics-Rockets Betting Guide: Is Houston Being Undervalued? article feature image

Photo credit: Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Clint Capela

Betting odds: Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets

  • Spread: Celtics -2
  • Over/Under: 216
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: TNT

>> All odds as of 12:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets

The 20-13 Celtics will visit the 18-15 Rockets on Thursday night. Both teams won outright and covered on Christmas Day and have been playing impressive basketball after disappointing starts to the season.  So what does that mean for this spread and total? Our analysts discuss.

Notable Injuries

  • Boston Celtics: Aron Baynes (hand) remains out.
  • Houston Rockets: James Harden (calf) is expected to play. Chris Paul (hamstring) and James Ennis (hamstring) remain out.

Editor’s note: This line sits at Celtics -2 as of writing, but it was recently reported that Harden is expected to play despite being listed as questionable. We’ll continue to monitor whether this line moves back in the Rockets’ favor.

Betting Trends to Know

The Celtics opened as a 1-point road dog. They’re 103-81-3 (56%) against the spread as an underdog under Brad Stevens and have gone 77-52-1 (60%) ATS in road games when getting points in the regular season.

The Celtics are also 35-21-1 (63%) ATS as a road dog against a Western Conference opponent. — John Ewing

In Boston’s Christmas Day win over Philadelphia, the Celtics turned the ball over just nine times with 21 assists. Over the past two seasons, they’ve played 15 games after turning it over fewer than 10 times.

While most teams typically regress to the mean and turn it over more in the next game — and therefore tend not to cover — the Celtics are 13-2 (86.7%) in this spot, covering the spread by 9.7 points per game.Evan Abrams

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