Clippers vs. Warriors Betting Odds & Picks: What to Expect From New-Look Warriors

Clippers vs. Warriors Betting Odds & Picks: What to Expect From New-Look Warriors article feature image

Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) celebrates with forward Draymond Green (23).

NBA Betting Odds: Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors

  • Spread: Clippers -1
  • Over/Under: 227
  • Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT

Odds as of Thursday at 5:30 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

The Golden State Warriors open up a new stadium with a much different team. Can Stephen Curry carry them or will Kawhi Leonard continue to assert his dominance in the Western Conference?

Betting Trend to Know

This is the Warriors’ season-opener. The Clippers already have a game under their belt. Will L.A. have an edge having already played? History says no.

Since 2005, teams playing their first game against an opponent that has already played have gone 37-28-1 (56.9%) against the spread. Underdogs in this scenario, like the Warriors, are an even better 22-12-1 (64.7%) ATS. John Ewing

Mears: How I’m Betting Tonight’s Game

I’m selling the Warriors early on; we’ll see how it goes. They obviously have Steph Curry, who is a superstar among superstars. But man the rest of this roster terrible. Last week they waived their only true small forward in Alfonzo McKinnie, and now they’ll start in the backcourt three iffy defenders in Curry, D’Angelo Russell and Glenn Robinson III.

Draymond Green and Kevon Looney will likely round out the starting unit. Who exactly is guarding Kawhi Leonard (and Paul George when he returns later in the year)? It almost has to be Draymond, who can probably do a decent job, but that takes him away from what makes him so valuable in this league: his help defense.

Again, Draymond is a fine 1-on-1 defender, but it’s his help defense that makes him a generational defender. He’s able to control the defense, guard multiple guys at once and use his brilliant basketball IQ to wreak havoc. Putting him directly on Kawhi is somewhat wasting him, and I’m very worried about the rest of the defense as a result. The help defense should be bad.

Offensively, the Warriors should be fine: Having Steph, Draymond and Russell on the floor together is a recipe for success. But the perhaps historically bad bench unit — especially when LA’s is excellent — combined with the defensive concerns makes me lean toward the Clippers. They’re more than 3-4 points better than the Warriors, in my opinion. Bryan Mears

Betting lean: Clippers -1 [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

For more NBA analysis from Bryan, read his daily manifesto here.

Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.

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