Rockets-Nuggets Betting Preview: Will Denver Cover Against Shorthanded Houston?
Photo credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: James Harden
Betting odds: Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets
- Spread: Nuggets -4.5
- Over/Under: 214
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
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The 5-7 Houston Rockets will roll out a shortened rotation on the road against the 9-4 Denver Nuggets.
Can James Harden and Co. follow up a bounce-back win over the Pacers? Or will the Nuggets take advantage of Houston’s health issues and get the cover? Our analysts discuss.
Betting Trends to Know
Prior to the Houston’s win over Indiana — in which the Rockets scored 115 points on 20-of-47 (42.6%) shooting from downtown in a double-digit win — Houston had played four straight games in which it scored less than 100 points and shot worse than 33% from 3-point range.
Under Mike D’Antoni, the Rockets are only 20-25-1 (44.4%) against the spread in games after shooting at least 40% from 3-point range, losing bettors 6.2 units.
The Rockets are attempting to repeat their performance against the Pacers, but in Denver.
Since 2005, teams to shoot at least 40% from 3-point range in the previous game then play on the road in Denver are 65-91-6 ATS (41.7%), losing bettors 28.6 units — including 41-65-5 ATS (38.7%) in this spot after a straight-up win.
The Nuggets are the least-profitable opponent in the NBA in this spot, with the Blazers a distant second, losing bettors 19.4 units. — Evan Abrams
Did you know? Houston was second in offensive efficiency (112.2 points per 100 possessions) and sixth in defensive efficiency (103.8) in 2017 when the team won a league-high 65 games.
The Rockets have fallen to 26th in offensive efficiency (102.5) and 19th in defensive efficiency (107.0) this season as they’ve started 5-7. — John Ewing