Freedman’s Favorite NBA Prop (Feb. 12): How Many Rebounds Will Kenrich Williams Grab?

Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.

Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post additional, official player prop picks. On Tuesday, we have 12-game NHL and five-game NBA slates on which we’ll want to get down more action.

2019 Year-to-Date Record

79-60-7, +20.44 Units

• NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
• NBA: 32-25-1, +4.59 Units
• NHL: 17-18-5, +0.89 Units
• Golf: 3-3-1, +0.50 Units
• NASCAR: 1-0-0. +1.10 Units
• NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
• Exotics: 5-0-0. +2.64 Units

Freedman’s Favorite NBA Prop (Feb. 12): Kenrich Williams Over/Under 7.0 Rebounds

• Over 7.0: -125
• Under 7.0: -105

Tonight's NBA slate isn't large, but there are still some valuable player props available for the betting.

The Pelicans-Magic game (8 p.m. ET) features two 25-32 teams, so the matchup itself isn't too enticing, but New Orleans small forward Kenrich Williams is wonderfully investable.

A rookie, Williams had never played more than 20 minutes in an NBA game until Jan. 29, but since then, he has been a regular contributor, averaging 34.6 minutes per game.

In the FantasyLabs NBA Models, we have Williams projected for 36 minutes against the Magic, so he should have his usual opportunities.

Although Williams is a wing player, he's been a strong rebounder ever since his increase in playing time, averaging 9.4 rebounds and grabbing at least seven boards in six of his past seven games.

In the FantasyLabs Props Tool, we have him projected for 10.1 rebounds. In other words, #SlamDunk.

Of all the NBA props I've highlighted in this series, this one might be my favorite from a value perspective. Of course, I probably also just jinxed it.

At 7.0, I'd bet this all the way to -165. At -125, I'd bet it to 8.0.

The Pick: Over 7.0 (-125)

Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.