NBA Sharp Report: Pro Bettors Targeting Over/Unders at Opposite Ends of the Spectrum

NBA Sharp Report: Pro Bettors Targeting Over/Unders at Opposite Ends of the Spectrum article feature image
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Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James.

  • There are 10 NBA games on the board tonight and sharp bettors haven't been shy in the early going.
  • Using Sports Insights' bet signals, we've found which numbers professionals have targeted on three over/unders.

There is plenty of NBA action on the board tonight and so far, sharp bettors have taken a liking to over/unders.

There are a wide variety of totals tonight, ranging from 204 points to 239 points, and sharp bettors have hit on each of the polar opposites.

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies

8 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Under (Moved from 206 to 204.5)

At just a handful of points above 200, this is one of the lowest over/unders of the season. There have been just two games this season with a total that closed below 205 — both have involved the Grizzlies.

It’s looking like tonight may have the third such game. Though 75% of bettors think these two teams can go over this low total, the line has dropped. Four bet signals have come in on the under — two at 206 and two at 205.5 — which has dropped it down to 204.5/204 depending on the book.

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz

9 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Under (Moved from 218.5 to 214.5)

Though the majority of bettors like this under, sharp bettors really liked it early on. About 30 minutes after it opened this morning, a steam move at Pinnacle caused it to fall a full point. Within an hour of opening, it was down to 215.5.

Though the line moves came to a halt for a while, the total fell yet another point shortly after noon eastern. Will it settle in at 214.5? Will buy-back come in on the over or will the line continue to drop? With 60% of bets and 92% of dollars on the under, 214.5 may not be the floor.


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Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Lakers

10:30 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Over (Moved from 237 to 238.5)

While the Memphis over/under is one of the lowest of the year, the T-Wolves/Lakers total is among the highest recent memory. Since the start of the 2005 season, there have been just 15 games with an over/under of at least 238.5

To my surprise, 60% of bets are on the under. Sharp bettors, on the other hand, have liked the over so far. The latest wave of pro money came in at Buckeye at 237.5, causing the line to bump up to 238.5/239 around the market.

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