Moore’s NBA Sunday Betting Guide: Odds, Picks and Analysis for Spurs-Thunder, Pistons-Blazers and More
Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Gregg Popovich
Let’s jump into some betting angles for today’s NBA slate.
Indiana Pacers at Toronto Raptors
Spread: Raptors -5.5
Time: 6 p.m. ET
The Angle: Nurse dominates the East
I’ve been big on Eastern Conference home teams this season.
East Home Favorites are 91-74-4 (55%) ATS vs. conference rivals this season. But with Nick Nurse’s Raptors, it gets even better. In two seasons, the Raptors are 26-18 (59%) ATS as a home favorite vs. other Eastern Conference teams.
That margin dips vs. the really good teams; facing teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Raptors fall to just 7-6 ATS under Nurse at home. But the Pacers are just slightly below that mark.
Indiana played the Raptors extremely close at home earlier this season. But on the road, the Raptors have been much tougher. One caveat: Victor Oladipo is out in this game, which I think actually helps the Pacers with getting back to the rhythm that made them so good before their losing streak before All-Star weekend.
However, with a line below two possessions, I’m taking Toronto.
The Bet: Raptors -5.5
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder
Spread: Thunder -5.5
Time: 7 p.m. ET