NBA Betting Picks: Our Staff’s 4 Favorite Bets for Wednesday
Photo credit: Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chris Paul
- Get the latest betting odds and picks for Wednesday's 11-game NBA slate.
- Our experts analyze how they're betting Pacers vs. Pistons, 76ers vs. Celtics, Thunder vs. Jazz and Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers.
NBA bettors were treated to an overtime game between the Pelicans and Raptors and a star-studded up-and-down slugfest between the Lakers and Clippers to open the season on Tuesday.
On Wednesday, an 11-game slate awaits and it features a rematch of last season’s Western Conference semifinals between the Trail Blazers and Nuggets as well as matchup between two potential Eastern Conference title contenders, the Celtics and 76ers.
Our NBA crew narrowed down their favorite bets for Night 2 of NBA action.
Odds as of Wednesday afternoon and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
Brandon Anderson: Pacers -7.5 vs. Pistons
- Odds: Pacers -7.5
- Total: 210.5
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
This line opened at -5 but has moved up with the news that Blake Griffin would be sidelined through the start of November. Of course Victor Oladipo is still out for Indiana, but the Pacers are the far better team even without the two stars in this game.
New Pacers Malcolm Brogdon and Jeremy Lamb will be eager to have a good showing in their first home game, while the Pistons could struggle to score without Blake.
The Pacers won three of four against the Pistons last season, with wins by 9, 19, and 37 points, and they pulled away for a 28-point win in the home opener last year against a then-healthy Memphis team. Expect another easy opener for Indiana fans as the Pacers win by double digits.
Matt Moore: 76ers Team Total Over 108.5
- Odds: Sixers -6
- Total: 214
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
The Sixers are at home vs. the revamped Celtics. Boston has owned this matchup for years because of Al Horford and Aron Baynes’ ability to limit Joel Embiid.
Guess which guys no longer play for Boston? Instead of Horford and Baynes trying to check Embiid, it’ll be some combination of Daniel Theis (6-foot-8), Robert Williams (second year, 6-foot-10) and rookie Vincent Poirier (7-foot). That’s gonna be tough.
More than just Embiid, the overall size of the Sixers is going to be a problem for Boston. Simmons, Josh Richardson, Tobias Harris — Philly is loaded with wings who have quick first steps. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown for Boston have length, and Marcus Smart is Marcus Smart, but Kemba Walker is older and smaller (though he gives great effort).
The Celtics were one of the best teams at not putting opponents on the line in preseason but their preseason schedule was also weak on serious wing threats. Philly is most certainly not weak in that regard.
While I’m not itching to lay the -5 against a frisky Celtics team that can put up a lot of points (and is getting some money from sharp bettors per Sports Insights), I think Philly’s size advantage will help push the Sixers over their team total of 108.5
Bryan Mears: Thunder +9 at Jazz
- Odds: Jazz -9
- Total: 221.5
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
This line is still available, and I think it’s just flat-out wrong. It perhaps is due to power rating the Thunder based on their futures, which are very low. Their season win total sits at just 31.5, largely because there’s uncertainty about whether the veterans can stay healthy and whether they might be traded.
But it’s Game 1 of the season, and we know for sure that those guys are healthy and playing tonight. A starting lineup of Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Terrance Ferguson, Danilo Gallinari and Steven Adams is just simply too good to be getting nine points, even on the road.
Further, the Jazz were pretty underwhelming in the preseason, going just 1-4 with a -1.0 Net Rating.
I’m bullish on them this year — talent will win out in the long run, especially talent like theirs that fits together so well — but it might take them a few games to find chemistry, especially with two guys who are used to being the lead ball-handlers in Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley.
I don’t want to rely too much on preseason data, but the rosters as they currently stand are closer than this line indicates.
Rob Perez: Nuggets +1 at Trail Blazers
- Odds: Nuggets -1
- Total: 217
- Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
The Nuggets have been sitting at home waiting for this revenge for five months, it’s just a matter of if they want it. Nikola Jokic is a nuclear weapon and there is not a soul on the Blazers who can do a damn thing to defuse him.
There’s a reason why a Western Conference finalist is only -1 at home to start the season. The Nuggets are just the better team, no other way to put it.
Editors note: This line moved toward the Nuggets after this article was published.