Get betting tools used by pros
TRY FOR FREE

NBA Betting Tip: Should Bettors Consider Postseason Experience?

Credit:

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: LA Clippers guard Lou Williams

  • Postseason experience matters for teams in the NBA Playoffs, but does it matter for bettors?
  • Using Bet Labs, we test this idea and share a profitable against-the-spread betting trend.

Conventional wisdom says that playoff experience matters. The postseason is a different animal and players who have been there before are more capable of adapting to the pressure filled environment.

Research done by FiveThirtyEight has shown that teams with playoff experience tend to win more postseason games than you’d expect based on their regular season performance.

But winning isn’t covering.

Since the 2005 postseason, teams that did not make the playoffs the previous year have gone 191-183-8 (51.1%) against the spread (ATS) when facing an opponent that did, according to Bet Labs.

Venue matters as casual bettors tend to overvalue home-court advantage in the playoffs. Road teams that weren’t in the postseason the year before are 104-91-4 (53.3%) ATS when matched up against an opponent that was in the playoffs the prior season.

While already profitable, we can make this system even better.

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories