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NBA Expert Picks: Our Staff’s 5 Favorite Tuesday Bets

Jan 08, 2019 4:47 PM EST

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Golden State Warriors forward Kevin Durant (35).

  • Our NBA experts give their favorite betting picks for the eight-game Tuesday NBA slate.
  • You'll find a number of intriguing betting angles, including historical trends, matchup analysis and why the Knicks shouldn't historically large dogs tonight.

We’ve got a ton of intriguing storylines on tap in the NBA on Tuesday, most notably the Minnesota Timberwolves playing their first game without former head coach Tom Thibodeau.

That means there are plenty of betting opportunities in the marketplace. Let’s dive into some of our experts’ favorite wagers on Tuesday.

This piece will cover the following games tonight:

  • 7:30 p.m. ET: Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors
  • 7:30 p.m. ET: Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
  • 10:30 p.m. ET: New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors


Rob Perez: Knicks +16.5 at Warriors

10:30 p.m. ET

OK, we all know the Knicks suck, but it’s never from a lack of effort. As a matter of fact, they are annoyingly scrappy and play the full 48 minutes like it’s Game 7 of the Finals, because for a lot of the guys on the roster who don’t know if they’ll even be in the league next week, it is.

A line of 16.5 should be reserved for teams that are dressing only seven guys and/or have waived the white flag even before stepping onto the court.

It should be reserved for that 2015-16 Philadelphia 76ers team that strived to lose by double digits.

It means the team that is favored by 16.5 is the best team in the league AND has a bench to expand a blowout.

The Warriors are none of those things. They are good enough to build out a 20-point lead in a matter of minutes — we all know this — but that bench is an absolute catastrophe: -16.5 is not safe unless they’re up by 35 in the fourth quarter.

Could the starters get them that lead? Sure. But Quinn Cook, Alfonzo McKinnie, Jordan Bell … the Warriors’ second and third units are as bad as the Knicks, if not worse.

The Knicks should win the fourth quarter by at least seven points in an empty-the-bench blowout, and I think they can keep it within 23 before then. So give me the Knicks and the late avalanche of points.