NBA Injury Report: Betting, DFS Impact of Devin Booker, Eric Gordon Injuries
Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) at Talking Stick Resort Arena.
- The NBA Injury Report is a daily piece that runs through the slate's key injuries and their betting and DFS impact.
- The Suns offense has been awful in 10 games without Devin Booker, who is questionable against the Warriors.
- The Rockets' depth will be tested yet against without Eric Gordon, but it should create a big opportunity for Austin Rivers.
There are six NBA games tonight, and two teams stand to be impacted the most without key players. We’ll break down the impact of Suns-Warriors without Devin Booker and Rockets-Grizzlies without Eric Gordon.
Injuries: Devin Booker (back) is questionable.
Injury background: Booker suffered a back contusion during Saturday’s loss after taking a charge, but started the second half and finished the game. He said afterwards that he has a “strawberry” on his lower back and was able to play through the pain because of adrenaline.
Impact if Booker is ruled out: Phoenix has been a total dumpster fire in the 10 games Booker has missed this season, losing nine straight before finally defeating the Mavs, whom they luckily caught in the second leg of a back-to-back on the road.
In the 10 games Booker has missed, the Suns are a minus-147. Their Offensive Rating (97.1) in that sample would rank dead last by a wide margin while their Defensive Rating (111.5) would rank 26th.
The Warriors have had a bad habit of playing down to their competition, but they’re still the league’s most talented team and have been very solid on the road this season with the league’s third best Net Rating (+3.9). If Booker was ruled out, the current line of -10 would need to be moved closer to -14 for there not to be significant value on the Warriors side.
The better bet may be targeting the under, which currently stands at 228.5. It’s no surprise that Booker leads the Suns in Offensive Rating (107.8), and without him, it would be a struggle for this Suns side to generate enough offense to crack 100 points.
They’ve failed to hit the century mark in seven of the 10 games Booker has missed. With this matchup likely played at around a league-average pace, the total would have to be closer to 220 for there not to be value on the under if Booker was ruled out.
Injuries: Eric Gordon (knee) is out and James Ennis (hamstring) is questionable.
Injury background: Gordon bumped knees during the fourth quarter of Saturday’s win and didn’t return. He’s dealing with irritation under his kneecap and is considered day-to-day after Monday. Ennis has been upgraded to questionable after missing the past nine games due to a hamstring strain.
Tonight’s impact: Austin Rivers has already been named the starter in Gordon’s place, with Danuel House remaining the starting small forward. The Rockets are a perfect 4-0 since House moved into the starting lineup.
Houston’s bench already ranks dead last in efficiency differential and their depth will continue to be tested without Gordon. Since Chris Paul went down with a hamstring injury, the Rockets have not played a single minute without at least one of Gordon or James Harden on the court.
Sharp money has come in on the Grizzlies so far, as they’ve received 76 percent of the money despite getting 38 percent of the bets. The spread has moved accordingly down to +5 at some books. It makes sense given how instrumental Gordon has been to Houston’s turnaround — the Rockets have been a whopping 15.4 points per 100 possessions better with him on the court during this recent stretch without Paul.
Rivers projects to have a massive workload as he could see up to 40 minutes as the secondary playmaking option alongside Harden. He’s grossly underpriced at $3800 on FanDuel, where he has a 99% Bargain Rating and needs just 15.4 FanDuel points to exceed his salary-based expectation.
Another similarly underpriced player on DraftKings who also has a 99 percent Bargain Rating is Clint Capela. He’s exceeded salary-based expectation in each of his last four matchups against the Grizzlies, and put up 43 DraftKings points in 35 minutes earlier this season.
Capela has hit value 10 of the 14 times he’s been priced at $7400 or less on DraftKings this season.