Raybon’s Favorite NBA Prop for Friday: Will Andrew Bogut Score 8 Points?

Raybon’s Favorite NBA Prop for Friday: Will Andrew Bogut Score 8 Points? article feature image

Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Golden State Warriors center Andrew Bogut (12)

  • Chris Raybon breaks down his favorite NBA player prop for Friday night.
  • The prop is based on how many points Warriors C Andrew Bogut will score.

The NBA player prop highlighted below is from Friday’s lone playoff game:

  • Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers: 10 p.m. ET on ESPN

As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 4:15 p.m. ET. View live odds here.

Warriors C Andrew Bogut

I went with the under at 8.5 in Game 5 (let’s not talk about the Ingles props k thanks), and I think there’s value on it again tonight at 7.5.

Doc Rivers made a key adjustment in removing Ivaca Zubac from the starting lineup, and could result in quicker hooks and less playing time for Bogut and more for Kevon Looney.

Bogut’s defensive prowess isn’t as valuable up against a more perimeter-oriented player like Zubac’s replacement, JaMychal Green, and Bogut hasn’t stood a chance against Montrezl Harrell, who has gone off for a ridiculous 37 points on 17-of-21 shooting in 75 possessions against Bogut.

Bogut is averaging 6.1 points in 23.3 minutes across his entire Warriors career and has been held under eight points in 62.5% of his starts with the team this season, so the under should have value up to -167.

At under 7.5 (-125), this prop is rated a perfect 10 in Bet Quality with a 40% cushion between our projection and the line’s implied total (10-rated props have won 59% of the time this season). 

THE PICK: Under 7.5 Points (-125)

I usually throw a few more prop picks in the Action Network App throughout the night as I do more research and lineup news trickles in, so be sure to follow me on there if you aren’t already.

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