Raybon’s Favorite NBA Props for Tuesday: Will Paul George Grab 8 Rebounds?

Raybon’s Favorite NBA Props for Tuesday: Will Paul George Grab 8 Rebounds? article feature image

Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Paul George

  • Chris Raybon breaks down his favorite NBA player props for Tuesday night.
  • Props include rebounding totals for Raptors PF Pascal Siakam and Thunder SF Paul George.

The two props highlighted below are from the following two playoff games Tuesday night:

  • Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors: 7 p.m. ET on TNT
  • Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers: 10:30 p.m. ET on TNT

As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 5:30 p.m. ET. View live odds here.

Raptors PF Pascal Siakam

THE PICK: Over 7.5 Rebounds (-125)

Siakam’s average of 22.3 points per game is the first thing that jumps out when you think about his postseason coming-out party, but equally important during these playoff’s has been his ability to log big minutes (39.0) and take over as the team’s leading rebounder (9.0).

Siakam’s rebounding chances per game have increased from 11.6 in the regular season to 14.3 this postseason, per NBA Stats, and he’s converting them into rebounds at a 63.2% clip, up from 59.3% during the regular year. He’s also rebounding better in traffic, leading the team in  contested rebounds per game (3.5) and contested rebound rate (38.9%) in the playoffs after trailing Marc Gasol, Serge Ibaka, and Kawhi Leonard in those metrics during the regular season.

Siakam has pulled down at least 9 rebounds in 5-of-8 games against Orlando this season, so this prop is about a rebound too low. At under 7.5 (-135), it is rated a perfect 10 in Bet Quality by our NBA Player Props tool, and props rated a such have put up a 59%/39%/2% win/loss/push rate since the start of the season.

Thunder SF Paul George

THE PICK: Over 7.5 Rebounds (-140)

Like Siakam, George has seen increases relative to the regular season in minutes (40.3 vs. 36.5), rebound chances (15.8 vs. 14.1), and rebounds (8.5 vs. 8.2) per game during the postseason. And in eight regular and postseason games against the Blazers, he’s come away with eight or more rebounds in all but one, averaging 9.5 per game. This is another prop that’s about a rebound too low.

I usually throw a few more prop picks in the app throughout the night as I do more research and lineup news trickles in, so be sure to follow me on there if you aren’t already.

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