Raybon’s Favorite NBA Props for Tuesday: Will Josh Hart Reach 12 Points?

Raybon’s Favorite NBA Props for Tuesday: Will Josh Hart Reach 12 Points? article feature image

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers guard Josh Hart (3)

  • Chris Raybon breaks down his favorite NBA player props for Tuesday.
  • Props include Lakers SG Josh Hart's points, Lakers PG Rajon Rondo's rebounds and Clippers guard Patrick Beverley's assists.

The three NBA player props highlighted below are from the following two games:

  • Los Angeles Lakers at Chicago Bulls: 8 p.m. ET
  • Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Clippers: 10:30 p.m. ET

As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 3:45 p.m. ET. View live odds here.

Lakers SG Josh Hart

THE PICK: Under 11.5 Points (-145)

Hart is a below-average shooter from the field (40.8%), beyond the arc (33.6%) and the stripe (69.6%). He uses, on average, just 13.7% of Los Angeles’ offensive possessions when he’s on the floor — he’s essentially the Lakers’ version of under machine Terrance Ferguson.

Hart has finished with eight or fewer points in three of his past four games despite logging 30.1 minutes per game over that span, and at his season average of 0.31 points per minute, he’d need roughly 38 minutes to be on pace for 12 points and 35 to be on pace for 11.

The second-year guard out of ‘Nova hasn’t even managed to hit double figures in six of the past seven games in which he’s played at least 25 or more minutes, so I’d play this as low as under 10 at standard juice.

Lakers PG Rajon Rondo

THE PICK: Over 5.5 Rebounds (-130)

Rondo is projected to start and play 31.5 minutes, which should be enough to cash the over for a player who has grabbed at least six boards in 11-of-15 (73.3%) starts.

The 33-year-old still goes hard for his counting stats most nights, and he’s up against a Bulls defense allowing the most rebounds per game in the league to point guards (7.2). Rondo was inactive when these two teams met on Jan. 15, but Lonzo Ball (remember him?) started at point for L.A. in that game and came away with 8 rebounds in 38 minutes.

Rondo has at leas seven rebounds in over half of his starts as well, so I’d play this up to over 6.5 at standard juice.

Clippers PG Patrick Beverley

THE PICK: Over 3.5 Assists (+106)

Pat Bev has handed out at least four helpers in four straight games and is averaging 4.8 assists in 30.1 minutes per game in 13 games since Tobias Harris got traded, according to our NBA On/Off tool.

The 30-year-old former Rocket should be able to make it five straight against a Portland defense that is allowing 8.8 assists per game to point guards over the last 30 days.

Given Beverley’s uptick in usage since Harris was moved, this should have value up to -160.

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