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Sunday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting Andre Drummond Rebounds, More

Credit:

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Andre Drummond

  • Sunday's four-game NBA slate features three player prop bets offering value
  • This piece will focus on Pacers SF Bojan Bogdanovic, Blazers C Enes Kanter, and Pistons C Enes Kanter.

Sunday’s best NBA player props focus on three of the slate’s four games:

  • Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics: 1 p.m. ET on TNT
  • Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers: 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC
  • Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks: 7 p.m. ET on TNT

As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 10:30 a.m. ET. View live odds here.

Pacers SF Bojan Bogdanovic


The Pick: Over 4 Rebounds (-114)

Bogdanovic has pulled down four rebounds or fewer in each of his past two games, which is creating a little value with his rebound prop on today’s slate.

He played 29.3 minutes or less in each of those contests but should see much more playing time today. He’s currently projected for 34 minutes in our FantasyLabs NBA Player Models, and he’s grabbed at least four boards in 17 of the 26 contests where he’s played at least 34 minutes this season (65.4%).

The Celtics are also a below-average rebounding team, ranking just 23rd in team rebound rate this season.

This is one of the highest rated bets using the Player Prop tool, and I’d play it up to -130.

Blazers C Enes Kanter

The Pick: Under 16.5 points (-114)

Kanter is great at putting up counting stats, but that doesn’t necessarily lead to team success. Justin Phan already laid out why Kanter’s presence on the court will be the Thunder’s biggest advantage in this series, and Kanter’s defensive shortcomings may result in him not seeing as many minutes as expected despite the absence of Jusuf Nurkic. Kanter is averaging 13.1 points in 22.3 minutes per game as a member of the Blazers, so he’s going to need a solid workload to hit the over on this prop.

I think the Blazers will choose to play a bit small in this series, so I think there’s some value in betting the under here. I’d play it up to -120.

Pistons C Andre Drummond

The Pick: Over 15.5 Rebounds (-130)

This line would seem ridiculously high for most players, but it’s warranted for Drummond. He led the league with an average of 15.6 rebounds per game, and his total rebound rate of 25.4% trailed only Hassan Whiteside.

Drummond is in an interesting spot today vs. the Milwaukee Bucks. They’re one of the best rebounding teams in the league, but they also play at one of the fastest paces. That should result in plenty of opportunities for Drummond to put his rebound dominance on display.

This play becomes much more appealing if Blake Griffin (knee, questionable) is ultimately unable to suit up. Drummond has averaged a ridiculous 17.4 rebounds per game in seven games without Griffin this season.

If Griffin is out, I’d play this prop up to -145. If he’s in, I would only be interested up to -130.

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