Get betting tools used by pros

Friday’s Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks (Jan. 30): All in on Jonas Valanciunas


Pictured: Grizzlies C Jonas Valanciunas (17), Photo Credit: Joe Murphy-NBAE via Getty Images

  • Friday's seven-game NBA slate features four player prop bets offering value.
  • This piece will focus on Mavericks G Seth Curry, Grizzlies C Jonas Valanciunas, and Nuggets PF Jerami Grant.

Betting on props can be one of the easiest ways to build your bankroll. Sportsbooks tend to offer lower limits and take less action on props than they do on games, so they don’t have as much incentive to post an accurate line.

That’s where our Player Prop tool comes in handy. We compare our industry-leading NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks to identify the best plays each day. Each bet is then graded on a scale from 1-10, with 10 being the best possible grade.

Odds as of Friday afternoon. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

How about a little reminder on just how impressively these bets did last season? Props with a Bet Quality of 10 posted a win rate of 60.31%, and props with a Bet Quality of nine won at a 58.82% clip.

As is the case with most sports, betting on unders proved to be more profitable than betting on overs last season:

  • Unders with a Bet Quality of 10: 341-172 (66.47%)
  • Unders with a Bet Quality of 9: 457-273 (62.6%)
  • Unders with a Bet Quality of 8: 898-589 (60.39%)
  • Unders with a Bet Quality of 7: 1447-1086 (57.13%)
  • Unders with a Bet Quality of 6: 1992-1663 (54.95%)

Overall, if you just blind bet every under with a Bet Quality of eight or higher, you would’ve won at a 62.1% clip on more than 2,700 bets.

Tonight’s props come from three of the slate’s seven games:

  • Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets: 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN
  • Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans: 8 p.m. ET
  • Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks: 9 p.m. ET

Let’s dive in.

Mavericks SG Seth Curry

THE PICK: Over 13.5 points (-114) [Bet now at PointsBet. NJ only.]

Curry may not be the first name you think of with the Mavericks, but he’s going to have to carry a large workload with Luka Doncic out of the lineup. He’s seen a usage bump of +9.6% in four games without Doncic this season, resulting in a team-high usage rate of 27.7%.

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories