Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting T.J. Warren Points, More
Pictured: Suns F T.J. Warren, Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA Today Sports
- Tuesday's six-game slate features two NBA player props offering value.
- This piece will focus on Suns F T.J. Warren and Hawks PG Trae Young.
Tuesday’s best NBA player props focus on two of the slate’s six games:
- Phoenix Suns at Indiana Pacers: 7 p.m. ET
- Oklahoma City Thunder at Atlanta Hawks: 7:30 p.m. ET
As a reminder, you can dig deeper on these and many other prop bets by using our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool. It leverages our projections against five of the most popular online sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of one to 10.
Suns F T.J. Warren
The Pick: Under 19 points (-115 at Bovada)
Warren is a gifted young scorer, but this line seems a bit high.
For starters, the Pacers are one of the worst matchups for scoring in the entire league: They currently rank second in defensive efficiency and 24th in pace. The Suns are also expected to get back Devin Booker, which should cut into Warren’s usage rate and playing time.
The Suns have a bit of a logjam on the wing — Booker, Warren, Josh Jackson and Kelly Oubre all figure to see plenty of playing time — so this seems like an excellent time to sell high on Warren.
The Suns are implied for 104.25 points, tied for the lowest mark on the slate. I’d play the under up to -140.
Hawks PG Trae Young
The Pick: Over 15.5 points (-125 at Bovada)
Young is in a difficult spot against the Thunder, who rank first in the league in defensive efficiency. That said, there’s a lot to like about Young given the Hawks’ current injury situation.
Backup PG Jeremy Lin is considered doubtful with an illness, so Young will likely improve upon his season average of 29.6 minutes per game. The Hawks are also still without Kent Bazemore, and Young has seen a usage bump of +2.3% with both Bazemore and Lin off the court, resulting in an average of 22.3 points per 36 minutes.
This prop seems like one of the best values of the day, and the over currently has a Bet Quality of 10 in the Player Prop tool. I like the over up to -165.