Thursday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting Andre Drummond Over/Under 16 Points, More
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Andre Drummond
- There are two NBA player prop bets offering value on Thursday's four-game slate.
- This piece will focus on the following: Pistons C Andre Drummond over/under 16 points and Celtics PF Jayson Tatum over/under seven rebounds.
Prop bets can be a great way to get action on a game. Bookmakers don’t have to worry about taking a lot of action on them, so there isn’t as great an incentive to post a competitive line.
As a result, props can be some of the most exploitable bets on the board.
These props can become downright unfair when you combine them with the FantasyLabs Player Prop tool.
Thursday’s best NBA props feature two of the slate’s four games:
- Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons: 7 p.m. ET
- Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder: 8 p.m. ET on TNT
Let’s dive right in.
All odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET.
Pistons C Andre Drummond
The Pick: Over 16 points (-140)
Blake Griffin got the headlines in the Pistons’ most recent contest, but Drummond remains a huge part of this offense.
Drummond put up 20 shot attempts against the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday, but was limited to only 14 points in a brutal matchup against Joel Embiid. Drummond shot 52.9% from the field last season, so he should be due for some positive regression.
That could start on Thursday against the Cavaliers, who have been a mess defensively to start the season. They’ve allowed the second-most points per 100 possessions through their first three games, and the Pistons’ implied team total of 113 points ranks third on the slate.
Drummond’s scoring average has been kept down through his first three games, but he should have his way against the Cavs. I’d play this line up to -180.
Celtics PF Jayson Tatum
The Pick: Over seven rebounds (-120)
Tatum has spent the majority of his minutes at power forward this season, which has resulted in a nice spike in rebounds.
He’s averaged 10.5 rebounds per game this season and has pulled down at least nine boards in all four contests. He doesn’t have a great matchup against the Thunder, who are fourth in team rebound rate, but this number seems too low considering his production to begin the season.
The matchup is a bit scary, but I’d play this prop up to -150.