Freedman’s Favorite NBA Prop Bet (Jan. 23): Will Ante Zizic Grab 9 Rebounds?

Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine.

For more information on my research process and the resources I use, see the master list of my 2019 prop bets.

2019 Year-to-Date Record

18-14-3, +11.23 Units

• Golf: 2-2-1, +0.30 Units
• NFL: 5-5-0, +6.83 Units
• NBA: 6-4-0, +1.30 Units
• NHL: 5-2-2, +3.80 Units
• NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.0 Units

Freedman’s Favorite NBA Prop Bet for Wednesday, Jan. 23: Ante Zizic Over/Under 8.5 Rebounds 

• Over 8.5: +100
• Under 8.5: -130

I haven't hit on my NBA props for the past two days. Daddy is angry.

But we will not be denied today. The Celtics-Cavaliers game (7:30 p.m. ET) offers a lot of value, especially Cleveland center Ante Zizic.

For the season, the second-year backup has just 4.3 rebounds on 13.9 minutes per game, but he’s expected to start in place of the injured Tristan Thompson (foot).

In the FantasyLabs NBA Models, we have Zizic projected for 30.5 minutes, so he should see a big boost in rebounding opportunities.

In our Props Tool, we’re projecting him for 11.8 rebounds. And against opposing centers, Boston has allowed an above-average 15.4 rebounds per game.

This line is available at MyBookie. At 8.5, I’d bet it to -150. At +100, I’d bet it to 9.5.

The Pick: Over 8.5 (+100)

Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.