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NBA Playoffs Betting Tip: How to Follow Sharp Over/Under Money

Credit:

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Klay Thompson

  • When the line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages, this is called reverse line movement and reveals which bets sharps are making.
  • Using Bet Labs, we share a profitable over/under system that follows reverse line movement for the NBA playoffs.

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets ranked first and second, respectively, in offensive efficiency during the regular season. James Harden (36.1 ppg), Stephen Curry (27.3 ppg) and Kevin Durant (26.0 ppg) were in the top 10 in scoring. With all of that fire power, oddsmakers and bettors expected Warriors-Rockets Game 1 to be a shootout.

The over/under for the first game of their Western Conference semifinal matchup closed at 224 and 68% of tickets were placed on the over. To the public’s disappointment, the teams combined to score 204 points and the under hit with ease.

To casual observers the result might have been surprising, but not to shrewd gamblers. While a majority of bets were on the over, the total had decreased from 225.5 to 224. When the line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages, this is called reverse line movement and is an indication of sharp money.

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