How Sharps Are Betting Nuggets-Rockets Thursday Night Matchup

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Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: James Harden and Mont Morris

  • While the NBA takes a back seat Thursday to MLB's Opening Day and the NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16, sharps are still finding value on tonight's Rockets-Nuggets (8 p.m. ET) matchup.
  • Sports Insights' Bet Signals and betting market percentages reveal which bet the pros are making.

On a busy Thursday in the sports betting world, the NBA is — as it often does in March — taking a bit of a back seat. But while most bettors are shifting focus to baseball's Opening Day and the first set of Sweet 16 games, sharps are still finding some value on the biggest matchup of tonight's eight-game NBA slate.

Oddsmakers opened the over/under for tonight's game between the Nuggets and Rockets (8 p.m. ET, NBA TV) at 218, and if their intention was to attract half of the betting population to each side, they seem to have picked the right number.

Fifty percent of bettors have landed on each side of the total, but sharps haven't been nearly as split.

With the total now at 216.5 despite the even betting percentages, you probably could've guessed that the pros are taking a liking to the under.



The 50% backing of the under has generated 58% of actual money wagered, which — while not a huge number — does reveal that the bets on the under are bigger than those on the over. And since sharps are more likely to be betting larger amounts than recreational bettors, that discrepancy serves as another indication of sharp under action.

Confirming that indication have been three Sports Insights Bet Signals. Triggered whenever sharp action causes a market-wide line move, the signals have showed professional money hitting the under at totals of 218 and 217.5, resulting in the current number.

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Sean Treppedi
Mar 28, 2024 UTC