NBA Sharp Report: Pacers-Clippers Among 3 Tuesday Games Drawing Pro Action

NBA Sharp Report: Pacers-Clippers Among 3 Tuesday Games Drawing Pro Action article feature image
Credit:

Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: LA Clippers guard Lou Williams (23), Indiana Pacers guard Cory Joseph (6).

  • While most bettors are focused on college basketball today, sharps are still hitting the NBA slate.
  • Sports Insights' Bet Signals and betting market percentages help reveal the three NBA plays wiseguys are making.

You know it’s March when Temple-Belmont is drawing more than three times as much betting action — and probably even more than that by tipoff — as any NBA game on a six-game slate.

Still, just because college is king right now doesn’t mean that sharps aren’t finding value at the professional level. Tonight, they’ve caused line moves on three games in particular, capped off by Pacers-Clippers at 10:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV).


>> All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets.


Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets

7 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 224 to 223.5)

The opening number for this total was a bit dependent on the book you chose to look at (and the time at which the book opened). In any case, though, the current number sits lower than where it was listed this morning at just about every shop across the market.

That movement is significant considering how most of the betting public is playing the total. It shouldn’t come as a surprise to see that 62% of bettors are on the over, but the line fall indicates that there probably aren’t a ton of wiseguys among that bunch.

The 38% of bettors going the other way have certainly been the bigger ones, as they’ve generated 81% of actual money being wagered on the total. That not only creates a monetary liability on the under, but since bigger bettors are the ones more likely to be sharps, it serves as another indication of how the pros are betting.

Confirming that indication have been two Sports Insights Bet Signals, which are triggered whenever sharp action causes a drastic, market-wide line move. In this case, both moves came at lines higher than what’s currently being offered, though: 225.5 and 225.

Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks

7:30 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 232.5 to 231.5)

In the same sense, this total opened at various numbers across the betting world, but has fallen over the course of the day pretty much market-wide.

Once again, the percentage of bettors on the under makes that movement significant, and in this case, that percentage is even lower.

Only 29% of bettors are taking the under, but they’ve accounted for 68% of actual money wagered, which again reveals the opinion of the bigger, probably sharper players.

And just to make this a near-exact replica of the Sixers-Hornets play, this under has triggered two SI Bet Signals of its own at a 232.5, helping drive oddsmakers to the current total.

Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Clippers

10:30 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Pacers (moved from +5 to +4.5)

As is the case with plenty of sharp plays — including the two above — the Pacers aren’t exactly a popular pick tonight. Only 27% of bets have landed on the Pacers in this matchup, which makes them tied for the least popular team on the six-game slate.

Still, Indiana has fallen from +5 to +4.5 over the course of the day thanks to professional players among that 27%.

While not as large a discrepancy as the other plays tonight, this one features 41% of money being generated by the 27% of bets on the Pacers. That, plus three SI Bet Signals (at lines of +5 and +4.5) have brought this line down from its opener.

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