NBA Sharp Report: Pros Betting Celtics-Heat, Thunder-Spurs Thursday Night

NBA Sharp Report: Pros Betting Celtics-Heat, Thunder-Spurs Thursday Night article feature image
Credit:

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Russell Westbrook

  • Sharps are hitting two of Thursday's biggest NBA matchups: Celtics-Heat (7 p.m. ET, TNT) and Thunder-Spurs (9:30 p.m. ET, TNT).
  • Sports Insights' Bet Signals, along with betting market percentages, help reveal which way the smart money is going.

Only eight NBA teams are in action tonight, which has sent some bettors off to the college game to make their bets. Sharps, however, have still found some value on the small slate this evening.

The two games attracting the most wiseguy attention — Celtics-Heat and Thunder-Spurs — have also been the two most heavily bet of the evening, and both can be seen on TNT at 7 and 9:30 p.m. ET, respectively.


>> All odds as of 1:45 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets.


Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat

7 p.m. ET | TNT

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 212.5 to 211.5)

This total actually opened around 209.5 last night, but early action immediately drove the line up to 212 overnight. From there, public bettors, 65% of whom are on the over, continued the line move to 212.5 before sharps finally stepped in.

Two Sports Insights Bet Signals were triggered on the under at 212.5, helping drive the line back down to its current number.

Also helping the line move has been the 71% of money hitting the under despite its 35% backing. Not only does that create a liability for sportsbooks, but it shows a massive difference in the average bet size of over vs. under bets.

And since sharps are more likely to be the ones making bigger bets, that discrepancy serves as another indication of professional action on the under.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs

9:30 p.m. ET | TNT

Sharp angle: Thunder (moved from +1 to -1.5)

Public bettors are split on this game, and it’s easy to see why.

While the Spurs’ 17-5 home record is too good for some to pass up, the Thunder own a slightly better overall record (25-15 to 24-18). As a result, it’s been OKC drawing a small 53% majority backing.

With no contrarian play, it’s the line movement that’s given away the sharp side.

After opening as a 1-point underdog, Oklahoma City is now listed at -1.5 across the market despite the relatively even betting, serving as the first indication of sharp action on the Thunder.

Confirming that indication have been three SI Bet Signals on OKC, all of which have come at a line of -1. And for what it’s worth, our Line Predictor tool projects this line to reach -2 by tipoff.