NBA Sharp Betting Picks (Feb. 12): Heat vs. Jazz Among 3 Games Drawing Pro Money Wednesday
Issac Baldizon/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Jimmy Butler
With most teams playing in their final game entering the All-Star break, tonight’s NBA slate offers 11 matchups, and sharps have taken notice.
They’ve hit three games particularly hard, including what will be one of the more heavily bet matchups: Heat vs. Jazz in a meeting between each conference’s fourth-place team.
Odds as of Wednesday morning and via DraftKings, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies
8 p.m. ET
A tough decision for most bettors hasn’t been as tough for sharps.
This spread, which opened at Memphis -4.5, has drawn a near-split, with 52% of bettors backing Portland as the underdog. But even though sportsbooks have split their audience in half, they’ve dropped the line by a point to -3.5.
That 52% backing of the Blazers has generated 75% of actual money hitting the spread, meaning bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are among that small majority.
Three Sports Insights Bet Signals — indicators of market activity caused by sharp action — have confirmed three waves of smart money hitting Portland at lines of +4.5 (twice) and +4.
Sharp angle: Trail Blazers (moved from +4.5 to +3.5)
Kings vs. Mavericks
8:30 p.m. ET
The discrepancy between bets and money hasn’t been as extreme — or even existent, really — in this game, but there’s still been a clear sharp side on the over/under.
Despite 61% of bets and 62% of money hitting the over, the total has fallen from openers as high as 227.5 down to 225.5. Three SI Bet Signals have hit the under, confirming the smart money on the under, and explaining the line’s movement away from the popular side.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 227.5 to 225.5)
Heat vs. Jazz
9 p.m. ET
Opening totals varied in this matchup depending on timing, but early numbers were up at 219.5 before sharps had their say.
Once again, the line has moved against the popular side, as the 38% of under bettors have been able to bring the line down to 216. And in this case, that minority backing is bringing in more money than the public side.
Under bettors have generated half of the money hitting the total, and with five SI Bet Signals hitting the under between 219 and 217, the line has fallen 3.5 points.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 219.5 to 216)