Friday NBA Sharp Report: Pros Betting Thunder-Wizards, Pacers-Bulls
Russell Westbrook and Billy Donovan. Credit: Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports
- Professional bettors have made plays on two of Friday's slate of NBA games.
- Sharps are betting Oklahoma City Thunder-Washington Wizards and Indiana Pacers-Chicago Bulls (both at 8 p.m. ET).
Professional bettors went 1-1 with their Thursday plays, losing the Cavs spread but cashing the Bucks-Celtics Over.
With a loaded eight-game slate on Friday night, wiseguys see a board dripping with value.
After analyzing the Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed two NBA bets that professionals are focusing on, both starting at 8 p.m. ET.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Washington Wizards
8 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 231 to 234.5)
Recreational bettors love Overs, especially when high-scoring teams that play little defense go head-to-head. However, Average Joes often get scared off an Over is the total is too high.
That’s the case in this one. The total opened at 231.5. Currently 60% are going Over, indicating moderate public support.
However, the Over is also getting 92% of dollars, evidence of heavy smart money.
We tracked three separate steam and reverse line moves on the Over at BetOnline, with sharps hammering Over 228, Over 229 and over 231.5.
An added bonus for Over wiseguys: Unders have lost more than 57 units since 2005 when James Capers and Mark Lindsay are officiating. They’re both in stripes tonight.
Indiana Pacers at Chicago Bulls
8 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 214 to 212)
With Overs cashing at absurd rate to start the season (69-46, 60%), wiseguys are extra careful to pick their spots when getting down on an Under.
This Under checks off all the boxes for the wiseguys. Currently 68% of bets are going Over, but 61% of dollars are going Under.
This is as big of a bets vs. dollars discrepancy as you’ll ever see and clear evidence of public bettors on the Over but sharps hammering the Under.
The total opened at 214. Heavy public betting pushed it up to 216. That’s when sharps at the Greek and Pinnacle hammered the Under.
Later this afternoon, wiseguys at Pinnacle and Heritage crushed the Under 213 again, triggering a pair of steam and reverse line moves. Following these moves, the total is now down to 212.
This Under also fits the profitable Bet Labs PRO system Reverse Line Movement Unders (58.8%, 15% ROI since 2005).
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