NBA Sharp Report: Wiseguys Betting Spurs-Blazers, 3 Other Thursday Games
Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: DeMar DeRozan and Damian Lillard
- Sharp action has hit tonight's NBA slate on four games in particular, including Spurs-Blazers (10:30 p.m. ET on TNT).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals and betting market percentages help reveal which way the smart money is going.
For the second straight night, the NBA slate is a bit… boring. Other than Lakers-Celtics, none of tonight’s NBA games would be on pace to be in the top five of Thursday’s most heavily bet college games.
Still, as they seemingly always do, sharps have found value on three of tonight’s matchups, capped off with Spurs-Blazers at 10:30 p.m. ET.
>> All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic
7 p.m. ET | FS-N
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 218 to 215.5)
While it might end up being the least heavily bet game among tonight’s NBA matchups, this one has attracted as much sharp action as any other.
Fifty-four percent of bets on the total have hit the under, which makes this a somewhat rare case in which sharp bettors aren’t in disagreement with the public. Those 54% of bettors, however, have generated 96% of actual money being wagered, meaning bigger bets — the ones more likely to be from sharps — are playing the under.
That indication is confirmed by three Sports Insights Bet Signals, revealing three cases of sharp action on the under. In combination with the massive bet vs. money discrepancy, that’s caused this total to see as much movement since opening as any other number on tonight’s slate.
Toronto Raptors @ Atlanta Hawks
7:30 p.m. ET | TSN
Sharp angle: Hawks (moved from +10 to +9)
The Hawks have been a frequent guest on recent NBA Sharp Reports, and tonight is proving to be no different. At 18-35, the Hawks don’t tend to attract many public bettors — especially against a team like the Raptors — which often gives sharps a slightly inflated line to exploit.
Opening at +10 today, Atlanta has fallen to +9 despite receiving only 29% of bets. That reverse line movement serves as a near-dead giveaway of sharp action, and it’s backed up by a few more indicators.
Like the first play listed — although not as extreme — the Hawks have drawn a higher percentage of bets than dollars (33% vs 28%), and have triggered four Bet Signals of their own compared to just one for Toronto.
So even though it gives the majority of bettors a better number, oddsmakers have been convinced by their sharper customers to drop this line.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Oklahoma City Thunder
8:30 p.m. ET | FS-SE
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 214.5 to 212)
This game is seeing a very similar pattern as the first one listed. In this case, though, less than half of bets (43%) are landing on the under, which makes the line fall a bit more interesting.
Once again, a much higher percentage of bets (85%) than dollars is hitting the under, revealing where the bigger, sharper bettors are putting their money.
This under has also drawn three Bet Signals, further pushing oddsmakers to reduce this line.
San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trail Blazers
10:30 p.m. ET | TNT
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 227.5 to 226)
Make it three unders for wiseguys tonight. This one has featured a similarly impressive bet vs. money discrepancy, as the 40% of bettors on the under have generated 71% of bets.
On top of that, two SI Bet Signals on the under have helped bring this line down a point and a half from its opener.