Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Odds, Pick: Sharp Bettors & Winning Systems Aligned on Game 1 Value
Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: LeBron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers
Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Odds
|Time/Channel||9 p.m. ET on TNT|
Odds as of Friday at 10 a.m. ET and via BetMGM.
Check out our new NBA PRO Report, which highlights sharp action, big bets, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks to determine the day’s biggest and most actionable betting edges.
After clawing back from a 3-1 deficit in the Western Conference Semifinals, it’s the Denver Nuggets, and not the Los Angeles Clippers, taking on the Los Angeles with a spot in the NBA Finals on the line.
The Lakers are 7-point favorites against the Nuggets in tonight’s Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. So should bettors back Denver and the points considering the team’s momentum? Or is the value actually with the rested Lakers?
Thanks to our new NBA PRO Report, it’s easy to see the smart way to bet Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 1.
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Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Pick
The Lakers opened as 6.5-point favorites against the Nuggets, but now sit at -7. Why? Because sharps immediately hit Los Angeles.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals are reporting a steam move on the Lakers back on Wednesday, showing that an influx of money from respected bettors jumped on Los Angeles -6.5, forcing a market-wide adjustment to -7.
Sharps are also dropping big bucks on LeBron and Company. The Action Network’s NBA public betting data is reporting even betting in terms of ticket counts, but the 50% of spread bets on the Lakers represents 72% of the money wagered.
This tell us that the bigger bets are clearly backing L.A.
Historical betting data is also signaling an edge with the favorites, as the Lakers fit the NBA Playoffs: More Money on Favorites PRO System, which has produced a 125-75-2 (62.5%) against-the-spread win rate since 2016.
PRO Report Angle: Lakers (moved from -6.5 to -7)
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