Pacers vs. Blazers Odds & Betting System Pick: Exploiting Recent ATS Performance
Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images. Pictured: T.J. McConnell
- The updated betting odds of the Trail Blazers vs. Pacers matchup list Indiana as double-digit home favorites (spread: -10) on Thursday night.
- The Blazers will be without their leading scorer, Damian Lillard, for the fourth game in a row and have dropped four of their previous five games.
- Using our Bet Labs systems we dig into the best way to bet on this primetime matchup.
The Pacers are 9.5-point favorites at home against the Blazers on Thursday (8 p.m. ET, TNT). As the line indicates, Indiana and Portland are two teams trending in opposite directions.
The Pacers rolled to a 119-80 victory over Charlotte on Tuesday and are looking to win their fourth game in five tries. The Blazers fell to the Celtics, 118-106, last time out and have now dropped four of their past five games.
Indy is expected to win, but will the Pacers cover? Using historical betting data, let’s look at how savvy bettors can find value in tonight’s matchup.
Pacers vs. Blazers Betting System Pick
Contrarian bettors buy on bad news and sell on good. That often means taking road dogs, betting teams that failed to cover and fading those that cashed tickets in their previous game.
Wouldn’t you know it, combining these three strategies creates a winning betting system with a large sample and consistent year-to-year results.
Road underdogs have historically been undervalued as home-court advantage is overrated. An additional contrarian take is to bet teams off an against-the-spread (ATS) loss as an underdog (teams casual bettors will avoid) against an opponent off an ATS win as a favorite (teams the public will chase).
By zigging when the squares zag, bettors following this system have gone 982-814-37 (55%) ATS since 2005. A $100 bettor would have returned a profit of $12,140 betting games matching this strategy.
Portland opened as a 10-point underdog and the line has moved to Blazers +9.5. The line move and historical data suggest the smart play is on CJ McCollum & Co.