Pacers vs. Knicks Pro System NBA Pick: Finding Betting Value With Tanking Teams
Photo by Ron Hoskins/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: ictor Oladipo #4 of the Indiana Pacers high fives a teammate
- There are two types of teams in the NBA after the all-star break: those with playoff aspirations and those bound for the draft lottery. This game features one of each.
- PJ Walsh previews the smart way to bet this matchup using our Pro Systems tool.
The New York Knicks are bad. I know, I’m not exactly breaking news here. Just four teams — the Golden State Warriors (.214), Cleveland Cavaliers (.259), Atlanta Hawks (.281) and Minnesota Timberwolves (.302) — sport worse winning percentages than the Knicks’ .309.
However, thanks to point spreads which provide a handicap for poor teams, even the league’s worst can provide value since all they have to do is cover, not win.
Still, it can be difficult for even the most dedicated of contrarian bettors to make these ugly plays, especially late in the season when some teams may be tanking for better draft picks.
With this in mind, I turned to one of our Action PRO Betting Systems to find value on tonight’s Pacers vs. Knicks matchup (7:30 p.m. ET).
Pacers vs. Knicks Betting System Pick
Based on the Fade Tanking Teams PRO Betting System, the Knicks are ripe for fading tonight against the Pacers.
As you can see, late in the season (defined as game numbers 55 and beyond), the league’s worst teams (win percentage below 40%) are terrible performers as home dogs against those still jockeying for playoff positioning, like the Pacers.
At the time of writing, more than 80% of bettors are laying the points with Indiana, and history says this is a good spot to pivot off a contrarian betting strategy and side with the masses.
PRO System Pick: Pacers (-6.5)