Pelicans vs. Rockets Betting Picks, Odds & Predictions: How to Bet the Historically High Over/Under


Sean Gardner/Getty Images. Pictured: Zion Williamson (1) of the New Orleans Pelicans.

Pelicans at Rockets Picks, Betting Odds & Predictions

  • Spread: Rockets -5
  • Over/Under: 246
  • Time: 2 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC

Odds as of Sunday morning and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.

The Super Bowl is today, but the NBA is definitely trying to steal a bit of the spotlight in what could be a historic game in the betting world (more on that in the next section).

How should bettors treat this high over/under? Where’s the value on the spread? Below I give my thoughts and my favorite bet today.

Betting Trend to Know

This game’s over/under might close at the highest number in history. Two games in our Bet Labs database have closed at 245: Nets-Rockets in 2019 and Suns-Kings in 2009. No game has closed higher, and today’s Pels-Rockets matchup currently sits at 246 after opening at 245.

Historically in games with an over/under of 240 or higher, the under has gone 24-15 (61.5%), good for a 20.0% return on investment.

Bryan Mears: How I’m Betting Today’s Game

How you feel about this game I think should come down to how you feel about James Harden’s play over the last several weeks. Prior to Friday’s game, he had a 10-game stretch of 26.4 points per game, which doesn’t seem bad given his volume, but he posted shooting numbers of 32.9% overall and 22.5% from behind the arc.

On Friday against the Mavericks, who were missing Luka Doncic, he finally rebounded, putting up 35 points on a better 40.0%-42.9% outing. He grabbed 16 rebounds, dished out four assists, swiped four steals and turned it over just three times. The thigh contusion that had been bothering him looked better — at least for that game.

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