Koerner’s Tuesday NBA Prop Picks: What to Expect From Paul George, Devin Booker, More

Koerner’s Tuesday NBA Prop Picks: What to Expect From Paul George, Devin Booker, More article feature image
Credit:

Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) at Talking Stick Resort Arena.

  • Sean Koerner runs through the NBA prop bets offering the most value in four Tuesday NBA games: Timberwolves-76ers; Suns-Pacers; Thunder-Hawks; Heat-Bucks
  • Paul George, Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton are among the players analyzed.

As soon as most of the NBA player prop markets are up, I quickly compare the lines to my projections to see the bets that are offering the most value.

I’ve put those props below.

An important note: It’s critical to line shop and get the best number possible, which is why I’ve indicated the book that’s offering the number listed.

All of these odds are as of 2:30 p.m. ET, and because props tend to fluctuate quickly, I’ve also listed what the fair odds for each prop are.

That is a crucial number to pay attention to; the line moving just a half-point can significantly reduce the edge. So once the line moves closer to what I think is the fair line, I’d advise you to lay off.

And I hope this goes without saying, but if the line moves all the way past the fair odds, you obviously should not bet it.

Here are my favorite props today, spanning four games — Timberwolves-76ers; Suns-Pacers; Thunder-Hawks; Heat-Bucks.

Want more props coverage? Be sure to check out our industry-leading props tool over at FantasyLabs.

Editor’s note: An earlier version of this article listed incorrect lines for two Trae Young props. Those have since been removed, as the correct odds do not offer any betting value. We apologize for the error.


Suns vs. Pacers

Victor Oladipo over 19.5 points -115
Fair number: 20.5

With three Pacers players being a game-time decision, this prop may be taken off the board if any or all of them are ruled out. It would re-open much higher, making 20.5 to 21 a fair line.

Devin Booker under 24.5 points -115
Fair number: 22.5

Devin Booker under 35.5 Pts + Reb + Ast -115
Fair number: 32.5

Deandre Ayton under 16.5 points -115
Fair number: 15

Deandre Ayton Under 11 rebounds -115
Fair number: 10

Deandre Ayton
Deandre Ayton playing against the Mavericks. Credit: Jerome Miron, USA Today Sports.

T.J. Warren under 19 points -115
Fair number: 18

Victor Oladipo +162 to outscore Devin Booker

I would bet this down to +130. Oladipo’s point projection can only go up if any of the aforementioned Pacers players are ruled out.


Timberwolves vs. 76ers

J.J. Redick over 17.5 points -115
Fair number: 18.5

Ben Simmons under 17.5 points -108
Fair number: 16.5


Thunder vs. Hawks

John Collins over 19.5 points +102
Fair number: 20.5

Deandre’ Bembry over 4.5 rebounds -105
Fair number: 5.5

nba-free agents-paul george-betting-impact
Russell Isabella-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Paul George

Kevin Huerter over Pts + Reb + Ast 17.5 -105
Fair number: 20.5

Paul George under 29.5 points -115
Fair number: 27.5

Paul George 3s made under 3.5 +100
Fair price: -135


Brook Lopez
Brook Lopez in action against the San Antonio Spurs. Benny Sieu, USA Today Sports.

Heat vs. Bucks

Brook Lopez under 2.5 3s made -130
Fair price: -150

Khris Middleton under 2.5 3s made -115
Fair price: -150