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Raptors-Warriors Betting Guide: Historical Trends Favor Golden State

Dec 12, 2018 6:45 PM EST

Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant

Betting odds: Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors

  • Spread: Warriors -8
  • Over/Under: 226.5
  • Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of 9:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets

Tonight we have Episode 2 of what could be the NBA Finals matchup come June. The Raptors won the first game in overtime a couple weeks ago, but the defending champs now have Steph Curry and Draymond Green back.

Can the Warriors cover the 7-point spread? Our analysts discuss.

Update (9:30 p.m. ET): Kawhi Leonard has been ruled out with a hip injury.

Betting Trends to Know

The Raptors are playing the second game of a back-to-back. Under Steve Kerr, the Warriors are 40-29-1 (58%) against the spread when facing an opponent on a back-to-back, including 23-13-2 (64%) ATS since signing Kevin Durant. — John Ewing

As John noted, being on a back-to-back when facing the Warriors is just not an ideal spot for opponents. What is even worse is being on a back-to-back after a stellar shooting performance.

Teams playing on a back-to-back after shooting over 50% from the field in their previous game (Raptors shot 52.1% vs. Clippers) are 1-7 straight-up and against-the-spread when facing the Warriors under Kerr. Opponents have failed to cover the spread by 6.7 PPG.

Kawhi Leonard didn’t play last night on the road in the Staples Center against the Clippers — his seventh missed game this year. In those games, the Raptors are 6-1 straight-up and against-the-spread, winning and covering their past five games without the former Finals MVP. — Evan Abrams

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