Raptors-Lakers Betting Preview: Kawhi Injury News Makes LeBron & Co. Favorites

Nov 04, 2018 12:00 PM EST

Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: LeBron James

Betting odds: Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers

  • Spread: Lakers -1.5
  • Over/Under: 236
  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET

>> All odds as of 9 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets

In Sunday’s prime-time game, the 8-1 Toronto Raptors will face the 4-5 LA Lakers, who will be playing the second leg of a back-to-back after beating the Blazers in Portland last night. Can the Lakers rally? Or will the LA nightlife actually hurt the Raptors, who will be without Kawhi Leonard (ankle), in this one? Our analysts are here to discuss.

Betting Trends to Know

Good teams — those that have won 60% or more of their games — are often overrated in the NBA betting market. These squads have gone 4,800-4,964-183 (49%) ATS since 2005.

On the other hand, teams that struggle to cover the spread — those with an ATS win rate of less than 30% — are undervalued.

Since 2005, teams that have covered the spread less than 30% of the time have gone 586-501-19 (54%) ATS.

By combining these trends and betting bad ATS teams (like the Lakers) against good opponents (like the Raptors), gamblers have earned a profit of 54.02 units since 2005. — John Ewing

The Raptors got their road trip off to a great start Friday night in Phoenix, beating the Suns by nine (though they failed to cover the 10-point spread). Toronto now travels to the Staples Center to get its shot at LeBron and the Lakers.

Since 2011, East Coast teams (ET time zone) that have already played and won its first game of a road trip on the West Coast (PST) and then play a West Coast team in its next road game are just 40-58 ATS (40.8%).

Early in the season, East Coast teams in this spot struggle even more, going 13-25-1 ATS (34.2%), including 3-11 ATS over the last three seasons, failing to cover the spread by 3 PPG.

The Los Angeles Lakers playing a home game at the Staples Center on a Sunday night — a tradition unlike any other.

Since 2005, teams as a whole are 396-408-19 against the spread (49.3%) at home on Sunday night (7 p.m. ET or later), with the Lakers 64-69-3 ATS (-8.0 units).

Between the Lakers and Clippers, home teams in the Staples Center in this spot are 76-86-3 ATS (46.9%), losing bettors 13.8 units. It’s the least profitable home arena in the NBA, per our Bet Labs data— Evan Abrams

Moore: The LA Nightlife Factor



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