South Florida vs. Texas College Baseball Super Regionals Odds, Pick & Projections

South Florida vs. Texas College Baseball Super Regionals Odds, Pick & Projections article feature image
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Ronald Martinez/Getty Images. Pictured: Lucas Gordon #13 of the Texas Longhorns.

  • The Texas Longhorns will take on the South Florida Bulls in the Austin super regional with a spot in the College World Series on the line.
  • The Longhorns are heavy favorites to advance, and Collin Wilson thinks there may be value on them to win the whole thing.
  • Check out Wilson's complete analysis below, including a series pick and prediction to go along with his game-by-game projections.

South Florida vs. Texas Odds & Schedule

Austin Regional: June 12-14*

Odds
Game 1
Series
Futures
South Florida
+525
+900
+6600
Texas
-750
-2000
+550
Odds as of Thursday afternoon and via BetMGM.
  • Game 1: Saturday, 9 p.m. ET on ESPNU
  • Game 2: Sunday, 9 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPNU
  • Game 3*: Monday, 4 p.m. ET or 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPNU

Series schedule and programming are subject to change due to flex scheduling and inclement weather.


Collin Wilson’s Super Regionals Betting Guide

South Florida (31-28) vs. No. 2 Texas (45-15)

Series Betting Analysis

Easily the most lopsided “Super” on the board, the question remains whether or not South Florida can bottle up its winning ways and continue in Austin.

Heading into the regionals, the Bulls ranked outside the top 100 in home runs per game, slugging and fielding percentage.

Winners of nine of its last 11, South Florida beat a Florida team that made the semifinals of the SEC Tournament before routing Miami.

After trading games with South Alabama, South Florida will bring just one top-25 stat to Texas: Sacrifice flies.

Unlike South Florida, there are not many categories in which the Longhorns fall out of the top 100. Texas is top-25 in fielding percentage, on-base percentage and stolen bases.


Probable Starting Pitchers & Projected Odds

Game
South Florida
Texas
Proj.
1
Jack Jasiak
Tristan Stevens
TEX -250
2
Collin Sullivan
Ty Madden
TEX -260
3*
Brad Lord
Pete Hansen
TEX -300

Why is Texas fetching numbers so high in the regional market? Starting pitchers Tristan Stevens and Ty Madden have been nothing but electric. This is the top pitching staff in the nation, ranking first in earned run average.

The series price should mathematically fetch -900, but a better bet may be a future.

The Longhorns would enter Omaha on the other side of the bracket of Arkansas and Vanderbilt, giving their odds value considering the small hurdle of South Florida.

Pick: Texas -2000 | Championship Future +800

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