Welcome to Championship Week. Five teams have already punched their tickets to the NCAA Tournament, and over the next week, 27 more automatic bids will be given out to the winners of conference tournaments.

We all love a Cinderella story, but it is the power conference tournaments we will be watching leading up to Selection Sunday. The ACC, Big East, Big 12, Pac-12 and SEC titles are up for grabs. Who will win?


To find out, we ran 10,000 simulations of each power conference tournament using our Bracket Simulator. Then we compared each squad’s current odds to win the tourney to our projections. For example, Kansas (+200) is the favorite to win the Big 12. In order for us to feel comfortable wagering on the Jayhawks, they would need to win it all 33.3% (which is 100/(200+100)) of the time. KU is projected to win the Big 12 Tournament 22.8% of the time, meaning there is no value in placing a bet at +200 odds.

Here are the best bets to win each power conference tournament according to our simulations. Note: Remember, always shop around for the best line!

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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