Your bracket is busted and your favorite team is no longer dancing. If you are like me, you’re probably looking for a new team. The best way to have some skin in the game is to place a future bet, but which team in the Sweet 16 is worth a wager?


To find out, we re-simulated the 2018 NCAA tournament 10,000 using our Bracket Simulator. Then we compared each squad’s current odds to win the Big Dance to our projections. If a team has a higher projected chance to cut down the nets than implied probability, there is value placing a wager.

Here are three teams to consider betting before the Sweet 16 begins, but first, a public service announcement.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow John Ewing on Twitter