Good bets lose and bad bets win. As those who tailed me with Aric Almirola to win Daytona know, even the best of bets can still come up short. Conversely, as those who read Sunday’s Wake and Rake, subpar bets can still win.

While the Michigan State-Wisconsin under still covered, we highlighted the the matchup with the line at 134, but late over money pushed the closing total up to 135.5. Is this a huge difference? Absolutely not. But the point of this is to emphasize that professional bettors don’t gauge their success on wins and losses alone; they also want to beat the closing number.

With this in mind, sharp bettors are surprisingly active this morning and already pounding one total on a small college basketball slate, so let’s jump in and join them in getting the best of the number.

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