College Basketball Public Betting Data Breakdown, Jan. 30: Home Dogs Are All the Rage
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: CJ Elleby
The public is riding a whole bunch of road favorites on Wednesday night’s college basketball card, while sharp action has come down on some of the opposing home underdogs.
We’ll break down the betting data for tonight’s slate to see where there might be value and where the lines are moving.
All betting data comes from our public betting page (ticket count is free, but money percentages are available only to EDGE subscribers). Betting trends are available for free in The Action Network app, while more advanced betting systems are available to Sports Insights subscribers via Bet Labs.
Most Public Bets
As of 3:30 p.m. ET
- 1. IPFW -3.5 (88%) vs. South Dakota
- 2. Minnesota -6.5 (84%) vs. Illinois
- 3. Villanova -6.5 (84%) at DePaul
- 4. Sam Houston State -3 (81%) at Southeastern Louisiana
- 5. Virginia Tech -8 (79%) at Miami
Besides Virginia Tech and Minnesota, there’s a much more even split in money bet on these games than tickets.
Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies
We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that’s been bet on each side. If there’s a big discrepancy, there’s likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.
Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Wednesday night, as of 3:30 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tipoffs.
DePaul (+6.5) vs. Villanova
- 8 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network
- 16% of tickets, 62% of money
- 46% difference
After a sluggish start to the 2018-19 season, the public is back on Villanova after eight straight wins and covers in four straight.
Despite the heavy public support, Nova has actually fallen from -7.5 to -6.5 thanks to heavy money on DePaul.
Washington State (+4.5) vs. UCLA
- 10 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network
- 39% of tickets, 81% of money
- 42% difference
Wake Forest (+10) vs. Louisville
- 8 p.m. ET, Raycom Sports Network
- 28% of tickets, 69% of money
- 41% difference
EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.
Bet Labs Pro Trend
Over at Bet Labs, we’ve created historically profitable betting systems for every sport. Tonight, we have 13 games with matches to PRO systems for college basketball, including this one:
Bad ATS Teams vs. Good ATS Teams
The logic here is that over the course of the season, the market will correct itself on just about every team. Teams that have covered at will early will eventually slow down as they become overvalued, and vice versa for bad ATS teams.
This system has hit at a 59% clip with a 14% ROI since 2005, though it’s just 11-17 this season. It applies to Miami and Cleveland State tonight.
Unlock PRO systems that match 13 Wednesday night games by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.
Sharp Money Indicators
Each day, we’ll highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action.
Marquette is one of the hottest shooting teams in the country, but Butler is getting the sharp love on Wednesday as a short home favorite.