College Basketball Betting Data Breakdown, Feb. 5: Big Favorites in Big Ten

College Basketball Betting Data Breakdown, Feb. 5: Big Favorites in Big Ten article feature image
Credit:

Rick Ostenski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Michigan basketball

The public is riding with some of the nation’s top teams on Tuesday night. Except Duke. For some reason, Duke isn’t getting much love as a 24-point favorite.

Here, we’re breaking down all our public betting data to see where the money is and if there are any contrarian opportunities.

All betting data comes from our public betting page (ticket count is free, but money percentages are available only to EDGE subscribers). Betting trends are available for free in The Action Network app, while more advanced betting systems are available to Sports Insights subscribers via Bet Labs.

Most Public Bets

As of 3:30 p.m. ET. Minimum 800 bets tracked.

  1. Michigan State -10.5 (83%) at Illinois
  2. Michigan -9.5 (82%) at Rutgers
  3. Tennessee -18 (81%) vs. Missouri
  4. Northern Illinois -2.5 (73%) vs. Ball State
  5. Marquette -6.5 (79%) vs. St. John’s

Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies

We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that’s been bet on each side. If there’s a big discrepancy, there’s likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.

Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Tuesday night as of 3:30 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tipoffs. Minimum 1,000 bets.

Vanderbilt (+7) at Arkansas

  • 9 p.m. ET
  • 48% of tickets, 83% of money
  • 35% difference
  • Line move: Vandy +8.5 to +7

Duke (-23.5) vs. Boston College

  • 7 p.m. ET
  • 45% of tickets, 76% of money
  • 31% difference
  • Line move: None

Surprisingly, the public is on Boston College as a huge underdog at Duke, but larger bets have come in on the Blue Devils.

La Salle (-1.5) vs. St. Joe’s

  • 7 p.m. ET
  • 42% of tickets, 66% of money
  • 24% difference
  • Line move: La Salle -2 to -1.5

EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.

Bet Labs Pro Trend

Over at Bet Labs, we’ve created historically profitable betting systems for every sport. Tonight, six games match a college basketball system as of 3:30 p.m. ET, including this one:

Poor ATS vs. Good ATS Teams

The market always catches up to teams that are covering every game. And it usually leaves a little value on teams failing to cover.

That’s the theory behind this system, which applies to Missouri (+18) at Tennessee tonight. It’s hit at 59% since 2005, but is just 13-18-1 this season.

Unlock the other games that match PRO systems by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.


Sharp Money Indicators

Each day, we try to highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action.

Tonight, that game is Utah State at Fresno State. The Aggies have moved from a pick’em to -2 behind just 36% of bets. We’ve tracked contrarian indicators and reserve line movement on Utah State.

EDGE subscribers can get full access to our sharp report page here.