Tuesday College Basketball Betting: Northeastern-Hofstra, Georgia Tech-Notre Dame
USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Prentiss Hubb and Bolden Brace
The first major conference tournament gets underway on Tuesday, as Wake Forest-Miami and Georgia Tech-Notre Dame each have early tip times in the ACC Tournament. In the mid-major ranks, the Colonial League tournament wraps up with No. 1 seed Hofstra facing No. 2 Northeastern in North Charleston, S.C.
Where’s the value in the latter two matchups? Let’s break them down.
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Betting Odds: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
- Spread: Notre Dame -2
- Over/Under: 126.5
- Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
The 10th-seeded Yellow Jackets (19-12 against the spread) and 15th-seeded Fighting Irish (12-19 ATS) have both covered in four of their past seven affairs. Nevertheless, Notre Dame has lost seven consecutive outright games while Georgia Tech owns back-to-back wins.
Irish coach Mike Brey is still one of the more under-appreciated coaches in the conference, yet Josh Pastner’s perimeter defense boasts the tools to help earn an “upset” as the higher seed.
Despite Notre Dame generating the second-lowest 3-point clip (30.3%) in conference play, it’s racked up the most attempts per game and highest scoring rate (38.8%) from that department. The Yellow Jackets are yielding the second-lowest 3-point clip (30.2%) thanks to that excellent perimeter defense, though, along with the third-lowest perimeter scoring percentage (31.5%).
Without D.J. Harvey (shoulder), expect the Irish to struggle against one of the more underrated defenses in the country. The teams split their two regular season meetings this season, and Brey’s unit combined to notch a 26.4% 3-point clip.
At the other end, Georgia Tech will be able to expose Notre Dame’s 14th-ranked 2-point scoring (56.3%) rate in league play, as the Jackets are tallying the highest percentage (55.4%) in that vicinity. The 6-foot-8 James Banks (10.5 points per game) should lead the way.
THE PICK: Georgia Tech +2
Betting Odds: Hofstra Pride vs. Northeastern Huskies
- Spread: Northeastern -1.5
- Over/Under: 145
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
The winner claims a trip to the NCAA Tournament — with the other likely booking a ticket into the NIT. No pressure.
The Pride (20-12 ATS) have dropped five of their past six contests ATS while the Huskies (17-13-2 ATS) are 5-0 ATS in their past five affairs. The market really caught up to Hofstra after an excellent run in January.
This matchup boils down to pace. Hofstra’s Justin Wright-Foreman (27.0 ppg) aims to spark its offense by pushing the tempo, but Northeastern plays with a bottom-50 pace. The Huskies are set up to control that department via their second-ranked defensive rebounding rate (24.8%) in CAA play.
Their prowess for controlling the pace should keep Wright-Foreman and Co. off the free-throw line, where it’s racked up the highest rate in the league.
After being dealt a 3-point loss in their first meeting, Northeastern bounced back with a 14-point win on Feb. 2, winning the battle of the boards and getting sound perimeter looks in the process. The Pride are not only one of the most inconsistent rebounding teams in the CAA, but they don’t matchup size-wise in this one either.
Although Hofstra has allowed the fourth-lowest perimeter clip (35.6%) during its league slate, it’s letting up a 53.7% mark over its past five games. Led by Vasa Pusica (17.2 ppg) and the nation’s fifth-highest team eFG% (57.0%), expect Northeastern to be the latest bunch to expose the Pride’s defense.
THE PICK: Northeastern -1.5