Tuesday College Basketball Betting Picks: UNC vs. Virginia Tech Spread Offering Value

Credit:

Peyton Williams/UNC/Getty Images). Pictured: Justin Pierce #32, Cole Anthony #2, Christian Keeling #55, Brandon Robinson #4, and Garrison Brooks #15

  • Looking for betting trends heading into Tuesday's conference tournament games?
  • Joh Ewing uses our Bet Labs database to find value in tonight's ACC matchup between North Carolina and Virginia Tech.
  • See his analysis and betting pick below.

Historically, public bettors tend to wager on teams that have been covering the spread and fade those that haven’t. It’s basic human nature to believe that something will continue to happen because it has in the past.

In fact, according to Bet Labs, teams that have covered at least three of their past five games have received a majority of spread tickets in 66.1% of regular season games when facing an opponent that has covered one or fewer of its past five.

Oddsmakers understand these tendencies and shade their lines to force square bettors to take bad numbers as a result. In postseason play, however, the team with strong recent against-the-spread (ATS) form receives a majority of bets in only 54.1% of games.


Odds as of Monday evening and via FanDuel. Get up to a $500 risk-free bet at FanDuel today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


Why the change?

Conference Tournament Betting System Pick

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