Our Staff’s 5 Favorite Under-the-Radar College Basketball Bets for Tuesday
Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Akron guard Tyler Cheese
- Our staff takes a look at five college basketball bets that are a little off the radar on the Tuesday evening slate.
- We have conference tournament action and a few other games with significant postseason implications.
Conference tournament season is here, which means you may be eyeing up plenty of teams to bet that you didn’t see much of throughout the year, so we wanted to share a few under-the radar college basketball games we like tonight.
Fire up your ESPN+ and check out our five favorite bets for Tuesday night, starting off with a MACtion matchup with major regular season and conference tournament seeding implications.
And if you need your power-conference fix, we do have angles for matchups in the ACC and SEC. Let’s dive in.
>> All odds as of 11 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and win probabilities on your bets.
Collin Wilson: Akron -3 vs. Bowling Green
7 p.m. ET on ESPN+
Bowling Green has an outside chance to win the MAC in a regular season finale against Buffalo on Friday night, but first must get by an Akron team with revenge on its mind.
The Zips have been a different team at home in conference, posting a 1-7 ATS mark on the road and 6-2 ATS record in Rhodes Arena. Meanwhile, Bowling Green has covered just once in its past seven games.
Akron also has seeding implications still at stake, as a MAC No. 4 seed gets them a bye to the quarterfinals. Plenty of tiebreakers are needed in a tight conference race, but a victory against Bowling Green and Kent State later this week will go a long way in securing a home-court game in the MAC Tournament.
As for this game, Akron will look for revenge after being tied at 69 with 19 seconds left at Bowling Green just a few short weeks ago. Akron covered the 5-point spread in a four-point loss.
Look for Bowling Green to continue stumbling down the stretch in a lookahead spot to Buffalo, while the Zips stay motivated for MAC seeding.
Eli Hershkovich: Loyola Maryland-Boston Under 147
7 p.m. ET on Patriot League Network
Patriot League tournament totals? You bet.
This one is a bit over-inflated, as the two teams combined for 137 points in their last meeting on Feb. 23. They did tally 154 total points in their first affair, but that one went to overtime after they only scored 138 points over the first 40 minutes.
Expect another low-scoring affair in a win-or-go home scenario where both teams might come out a little tight.
The Terriers are also in position to control the pace via their below-average Adjusted Tempo (66.2 possessions per 40 minutes).
They’ll do so with their superior height advantage, boasting the third-highest offensive and defensive rebounding rate in league play. Boston also owned the glass (33-21) in its rematch with the Greyhounds, yielding just two offensive rebounds.
Loyola Marymount’s attack hasn’t blown by its conference foes, either, producing a middle-tier average possession length (17.9 seconds) during its league slate.
Even though Tavaras Hardy’s seventh-rated Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (102.8 points per 100 possessions) is up against the league’s worst AdjD (112.0 opponents’ points per 100 possessions), it’s averaged a conventional 0.96 PPP in their two matchups.
Mike Randle: Texas A&M -4.5 vs. South Carolina
7 p.m. ET on SECN
South Carolina head coach Frank Martin has done a masterful job all season with a limited roster. However, the Gamecocks’ run of overachieving has come to an end.
South Carolina lost three straight games, as its unsustainable 3P efficiency has finally started to regress. South Carolina ranks second in conference play with a 40.1% average from beyond the arc but has shot only 21.2% (7-of-33) in its past two games.
The Gamecocks also have lost second-leading scorer A.J. Lawson (13.9 ppg) to an ankle injury. Coach Martin hopes to have his star freshman back for the SEC tournament.
Meanwhile, Texas A&M has won its past three home games by an average of 11 points per game while holding all three opponents under 58 points. The Aggies have excelled at defending the perimeter, holding opponents to a sub-50% effective field goal percentage.
In their first meeting on Feb. 16, Texas A&M jumped out to a 42-35 halftime lead before falling victim to South Carolina’s incredible 63.6% 3P shooting performance (14-of-22). That will not happen again in College Station against an Aggies team playing for a first-round bye in the SEC tournament.
While guard T.J. Starks (12.3 ppg) will miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury, Texas A&M has seen improved play from sophomores Savion Flagg (12.8 ppg) and Jay Jay Chandler (7.8 ppg). Look for an inspired Aggies effort on Senior Night as they seek revenge and that critical SEC tourney bye.
Ken Barkley: Minnesota +5.5 vs. Purdue
8 p.m. ET on BTN
You will not find a team in the country with more polarized home-road splits than Purdue. It’s just wild.
The Boilermakers are 15-3 in the Big 10 and just beat Ohio State by 35 (at home). They are now up to No. 10 in KenPom. All impressive, but let’s take a look at their conference road games this season:
- Loss by 18 at Michigan State
- Win at Wisconsin in overtime
- Win at Ohio State, win at Penn State in overtime
- Loss at Maryland by 14
- Win at Indiana by 2
- Win at Nebraska by 3
A ton of one-possession and overtime games that have swung their way to help inflate a misleading 4-2 conference road record.
As impressive as the home results are, Purdue can be gotten on the road by basically anyone in the Big Ten.
Also, Minnesota actually hung around against Purdue in West Lafayette in the first meeting before falling apart over the final eight minutes, which is a pretty good sign.
Purdue’s weaknesses are that they give up offensive boards and they let the opposing team get to the line. Well, Minnesota is the best in the conference at getting to the line. I’ll take the Gophers at a bit of an inflated number.
John Ewing: Pittsburgh +6 at Miami
8 p.m. ET on ACCN
Pitt has lost 12 straight and 23 in a row on the road, so it’s not surprising that only 30% of spread tickets are on the Panthers. But bad teams that have failed to cover in at least five consecutive games like Jeff Capel’s team are often undervalued in road conference games.
Pitt’s poor recent form has forced oddsmakers to inflate this line, creating buy-low value on the Panthers.
Editor’s note: The opinions on these games are from the individual writer and are based on his research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.