CBB Sharp Report: Colorado-Texas Among Wednesday’s Top Pro Bets
Stephen Spillman-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Texas Longhorns guard Matt Coleman III (2) and guard Courtney Ramey (3)
- Wiseguys are getting down on two college basketball games tonight, headlined by Colorado-Texas (9 p.m. ET on ESPN2).
- Sharps are also betting Lipscomb-NC State (9 p.m. ET on ESPNU).
- Using the tools available at The Action Network, we analyze how pros are betting each game.
Wiseguys quietly crushed it again yesterday, cashing both the Wichita State spread and under en route to a 2-0 night. Once again, sharps will look to stay disciplined and pick their spots in a pair of under-the-radar NIT matchups.
After analyzing Wednesday’s short three-game slate using the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified two games attracting sharp action from professional bettors.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Lipscomb @ NC State
9 p.m. ET | ESPNU
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 163.5 to 162.5)
Sharps and squares (casual bettors who bet for fun) are on the same page when it comes to this over/under.
The total opened at an incredibly high 162.5. Early betting pushed the line up to 163.5. That’s when wiseguys got down hard on the Under 163.5 at an inflated value price. This wave of respected money dropped the total back down to 162.5. The juice is heavy on the under, which means it may fall even further.
Nearly 65% of bets and dollars are taking the under, signaling both casual support and big wagers from pro bettors.
This “high total under” spot has been a big moneymaker for the sharps this season.
Using our Bet Labs Software, we’ve found that when the total is 155 or higher, the under has hit at a 56.1% clip this season (both regular and postseason). If the total is 160 or higher, the under improves to 59.3%.
Colorado @ Texas
9 p.m. ET | ESPN2
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 136 to 138.5)
Recreational bettors don’t know which way to go with this over/under. But wiseguys have taken a clear position.
The total opened at 136. Bets are split right down the middle, with 50% taking the over and 50% taking the under. However, the total has risen all the way up to 138.5.
In a vacuum, a line shouldn’t budge if the tickets are even. So what caused this movement? As always, follow the money.
The over is getting only 50% of bets but 71% of dollars. This massive bets vs. dollars discrepancy is clear evidence of wiseguy wagers banking on a higher-scoring game.
Using our Sports Insights Bet Signals, we noticed pro bettors hammer the Over 136 as soon as the line opened. We haven’t seen a single conflicting under move (or buyback).