College Basketball Sharp Betting Picks (Feb. 1): Providence vs. Butler, Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Drawing Pro Action
Joe Robbins/Getty Images. Pictured: Kamar Baldwin and Khalif Battle
Even with a full day remaining until Super Bowl 54, the Big Game will be at the forefront of most bettors’ minds for the entirety of the weekend. But if you’re looking for something else to get you to Sunday, take a gander at the giant Saturday college hoops slate.
The sharps certainly have.
With so many games, it’s nearly impossible to mention each one that’s seen an impact pro bettors. We can, however, narrow it down to the matchups that have put on the most obvious displays of sharp action, and today those matchups both come at 2 p.m. ET.
Let’s take a look at how sharps are betting Providence vs. Butler and Tennessee vs. Mississippi State.
Odds as of Saturday at 9 a.m. ET. Check out FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Providence vs. Butler
2 p.m. ET | FS1
A three-game losing streak for Providence has the Friars at an even 4-4 in Big East play, making them a pretty unpopular underdog at No. 16 Butler this afternoon. Only 30% of spread tickets have landed on Providence, which opened at +8.5 at most books (and even 9.5 at the earliest ones).
Don’t go thinking that sportsbooks are now worried about Butler, however.
The 30% of Providence bettors have generated 77% of actual money hitting the spread, and while that does create a monetary liability for books, it reveals the opinions of bigger bettors (in this case, much bigger ones) — the ones more likely to be sharps.
Three different Sports Insights Bet Signals have confirmed instances of pro money hitting the underdog at +8.5. As a result, the market has settled at a new spread of just +7 as of the morning.
Sharp angle: Providence (moved from +8.5 to +7)
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State
2 p.m. ET | ESPNU
A similar matchup is taking place in Starkville and the betting market is responding similarly.
Tennessee has dropped two in a row, falling to 4-3 in the SEC, and hasn’t given much reason for casual bettors — who are drawn to better records and favorites — not to take the Bulldogs at home today, especially at a reasonable opening number of -6.5.
Once again, though, bigger bettors have controlled the market movement. And once again, those bigger bettors have been the sharps.
The 21% of tickets hitting the Vols have generated 44% of money, and another two Bet Signals on Tennessee (at +6.5) have this spread on the move down to +5.5 at most books.
Sharp angle: Tennessee (moved from +6.5 to +5.5)