CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Rhode Island-Dayton, 2 Other Friday Games
Rhode Island Rams players react on the bench during the 2018 NCAA Tournament. Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
- Wiseguys are betting three college basketball games on Friday, headlined by Rhode Island-Dayton (7 p.m. ET on ESPN2).
- Sharps are also getting down on Cornell-Yale (7 p.m. ET on ESPN+) and Quinnipiac-Saint Peter's (7 p.m. ET).
- Using the tools available at The Action Network, we analyze how the pros are betting each game.
Wiseguys posted their fourth consecutive 2-1 day on Thursday, cashing both the Hofstra-Drexel Under and App State-UL Monroe Under. After a slow start to the season, pro bettors are hitting their stride at the perfect time. Once again, they’ll be targeting undervalued over/unders and overlooked spreads.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Rhode Island @ Dayton
7 p.m. ET | ESPN2
Sharp angle: Rhode Island (moved from +8.5 to +7)
Casual bettors largely ignore betting percentages, line movement and historical data when placing a bet. Instead, they focus almost exclusively on recent performance, won-loss records and gravitate toward favorites and home teams.
This Atlantic 10 showdown is a perfect example.
Dayton boasts an impressive 19-9 record, while Rhode Island sits one game below .500 at 13-14.
This game opened at Dayton -8.5. As you’d expect, nearly 70% of bets are laying the points with the home favorite with the far better record.
However, despite receiving heavy public support, Dayton has fallen from -8.5 to -7. Why would the books drop the spread to make it easier for public bettors to cover?
Using our Sports Insights Bet Signals, we noticed sharps hammer URI at +8.5 and again at +8, triggering a pair of steam and reverse line moves that forced bookmakers to adjust the line toward the road dog.
Cornell @ Yale
7 p.m. ET | ESPN+